WASHINGTON: Five years of warfare in Iraq and Afghanistan have left signs of wear and tear on the US military, raising questions about its ability to sustain its current level of operations and confront potential new crises.
The US-led invasion of Afghanistan, ordered following the Sept 11 attacks, began on Oct 7, 2001, thrusting the all-volunteer US military into combat that has continued unabated there and, since March 2003, in Iraq.
Senior military officers, including Army Chief of Staff Gen. Peter Schoomaker, have warned of falling combat readiness of some units and mounting equipment shortfalls, with Abrams tanks, Bradley Fighting Vehicles and other equipment battered from extended use on the battlefield.
Many troops are facing second and third long combat tours and less time between overseas deployments. At the same time, the US death toll mounts, with more than 2,730 troops killed in Iraq and about 280 more in Afghanistan.
“We’re in the early stages of some sort of crisis that, if not addressed, will result in breaking the force,” said retired Army Col. Andrew Bacevich, a military expert at Boston University. “You’d have to be remarkably naive to think that we’re going to be able to continue to place this level of stress on the force for all that much longer.”
The last five years mark the first time the all-volunteer force has been tested by protracted warfare. The draft ended in 1973. Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld opposes resuming it.
Lexington Institute defence analyst Loren Thompson said the Navy was the only service in genuinely good shape in a military of 1.42 million active-duty troops and 830,000 part-time reserves. “The ground forces — the Army and the Marine Corps — are in a very rundown and beleaguered state. And the Air Force’s fleet of aircraft has become almost archaic, they’re so aged,” he said.
Pentagon officials defend the condition of the military.
“We are a nation at war,” said Pentagon spokesman Bryan Whitman. “The armed forces of this nation are not only up to the task, they are performing their missions superbly.”
The military has been at the very least strained in sustaining the current troop levels of 141,000 in Iraq and 21,000 in Afghanistan. For example, it has had to postpone the scheduled departure of two 4,000-strong Army combat brigades from Iraq and accelerate the deployment of a third.
With the Army and Marines stretched thin, the Pentagon has converted thousands of Navy and Air Force personnel into ground troops to do jobs like driving trucks and guarding detainees.
A major concern for the US top brass is the military’s ability to respond if hostilities broke out in another hot spot such as Iran or North Korea.
With so much of the Army and Marines tied down in Iraq and Afghanistan, the Navy and Air Force might have to carry the load, meaning air-strikes and naval blockades rather than a big commitment of ground forces.
A broad mobilization of hundreds of thousands of National Guard and Reserve personnel also might be deemed necessary, but such a move risks a backlash from US communities from which part-time troops would be plucked from civilian lives. The Pentagon already has made heavy use of them. As recently as last year, they made up 40 per cent of the Iraq force.
The Army has compelled 75,000 soldiers, including 11,000 currently, to continue serving after their voluntary stints ended, under a policy called “stop loss” intended to keep units designated to go to Iraq and Afghanistan fully manned. Some soldiers can be forced to stay in the Army an extra 18 months, a practice some critics in Congress call a “backdoor draft.”
Brookings Institution defence analyst Michael O’Hanlon noted other signs of stress on troops, including upward trend in divorce rates and suicides and the departure of mid-level officers. “I think morale is very fragile right now and in danger of getting a lot worse very soon,” O’Hanlon said.
So far, the military has hit its targets for “retention” — convincing current troops to re-enlist for more duty.
Recruiting has been more problematic. The regular Army missed its fiscal 2005 target, but met its 2006 goal of sending 80,000 recruits into boot camp thanks to steps taken to coax volunteers.
Those included financial incentives, more recruiters, raising the enlistment cut-off age to one’s 42nd birthday, and accepting more recruits with past legal problems and from the lowest acceptable quality category. The Army National Guard and Army Reserve still both came up a bit short of their 2006 recruiting goals after also missing in 2005.—Reuters
