Gross distortion in taxes
By Sultan Ahmed
A TOTAL of one 1,384,309 persons filed their income tax returns until the deadline for filing them expired on September 30. And that is a 20 per cent increase over the returns filed last year. The total amount paid along with the returns were Rs11.98 billion against Rs4.5 billion paid last year, an increase of 170 per cent.
When the late filers too submit their returns by October 31, following the extension of the deadline, the number of taxpayers can exceed 1.4 million. In Karachi the number of taxpayers in the medium tax payers unit exceeded 40 per cent over last year. And the number of large taxpayers in Lahore and Karachi has increased by 12 big companies, raising the number of such companies in Karachi to 317 and in Lahore to 152 — a total of 469 companies.
Evidently the earnings in the middle income sector are increasing rapidly in an environment of unbridled high profits and the Central Board of Revenue’s helpful attitude towards the taxpayers. And during the first quarter of the new fiscal year ending September, the tax returns at 187.38 billion jumped by 23.2 per cent over the first quarter’s collection last year and 5.1 per cent above the target. The direct taxes paid — Rs66.3 billion increased by 36.7 per cent over the collection in the first quarter of last year.
All that should help the ratio of tax revenues to the GDP raise far above the dismal 10 per cent against which both the World Bank and the IMF have been protesting. As earnings rise and profits of the companies increase their tax payments are also rising. But the sector which pays the least tax is the farm sector which has a share of 20.2 per cent in the economy, but pays only 1.2 per cent of the total tax revenues.
Compared to that the industrial sector has a 17.3 per cent share of the GDP, but pays 62 per cent of the tax, apart from provincial and local taxes and the service sector has a share of 50 per cent of the GDP, but pays 32.8 per cent of the tax. The efforts of the CBR to persuade the government to levy income tax, though persistent have been in vain.
While the farm sector pays a token income tax, it enjoys generous support prices on a variety of products including wheat, rice, sugarcane and a variety of minor crops. Right now while the Punjab government has fixed Rs 60 for 40kg of sugarcane, the Sindh government has raised that figure to Rs 67.
The farmers also enjoy a large subsidy on fertilisers, now confined to phosphate fertilisers. That will cost the government Rs 6.18 billion for a maximum subsidy of Rs 250-257 per bag. In addition farming loans from banks are increasing and last year exceeded Rs 100 billion at concessional interest rates. All that increases the crop output in a big way and the financial returns from them in a bigger way. And yet loan default by the farmers is a big deal.
Over and above such large economic gains for the farm lords as against the subsistence farmers who benefit too little from such varied concessions from the government, they enjoy a great deal of political power along with representation in the assemblies and the cabinets. Their absolute gains are infinite and in return for all that they pay 1.2 per cent of the total federal income tax.
The industrialists who pay 62 per cent of the income tax complain that there are too many taxes on them and until recently used to say they had to pay a total of 40 provincial, federal and local taxes. The monetary burden of such levies apart, the physical task of paying the tax is exhausting and breeds petty corruption aplenty.
In the service sector which pays 32 per cent of the tax, there are too many loopholes. In fact it is doubtful whether the sector has a 50 per cent share in the GDP which is more common in the developed countries with a very large service sector than in the developing countries like Pakistan with a modest service sector.
In fact the whole question of who pays income tax and how much has become rather academic after the introduction of the hefty sales tax on too many consumer items including soft drinks and people as a whole are made to pay a high rate of sales tax. The total revenues from sales tax now far exceed the revenue from income tax. And now the government has decided that only those persons with a national tax number can buy cars. This could be some check on the tax evasion by the affluent, but there can be corruption in this area too and that has to be checked.
Two of the largest areas of commercial activities in the country today are the real estate and the shares market. Both are exceedingly gainful for the smart and market-savvy operators who are resourceful. The CBR does not get its share of the taxes from either sector. The exemption from capital gains tax makes it forgo the large gains made on the stock exchange. The real estate is supposed to be in the provincial domain for taxation. So the CBR is now only trying to collect the data before pressing the federal government to tax the real estate gains.
So we have at one end the farm sector with its 20.2 per cent share in the economy paying 1.2 per cent of the total tax and two of the currently flourishing sectors with their large profits not paying their share of the taxes. So the tax to the GDP ratio has to be a very low 10 per cent. When it comes to the CBR reforms its efficiency and integrity would be acknowledged by the tax payers only if the refunds are made quick and not unduly delayed which breeds corruption. A beginning has been made by the CBR, but that should be speeded up. But the people believe the CBR would refund their dues quickly, they may be ready to pay taxes even in excess of their dues.
Meanwhile, a major industry is facing serious problems and that is the key textile industry with a 66 per cent share in exports. It is now confronting a 15 per cent shortfall in cotton output. The shortage has to be met through imports, apart from importing a million bales of fine cotton to produce better cloth.
The cotton output this year is expected to be 12.5 million bales against the target of 13.82 million bales. At its peak two years ago, the output was 14.3 million bales and that could not be replicated last year or this year because of excessive unseasonal rains in the cotton belt. Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz now wants cotton output of 20.7 million bales by 2015. That has to be achieved through higher yield per acre and by improving the quality of cotton. Otherwise more cotton could mean less of other crops which we cannot afford.
The prime minister wants the Textile Vision 2005 to be reviewed and revised in the light of the new realities in the post-textile quota world and the fierce competition in the global textile trade. He has asked the National Textile Strategy committee to redraft the Textile Vision by December 31 and has appointed a sub-committee headed by Tariq Saigol to submit its report.
Other countries are helping their textile industry in a big way and they include China, India and Bangladesh with whom Pakistan has to compete. Pakistan has to go all out to help its textile industry facing several problems relating to export.
Another basic industry facing a crisis — in fact a perpetual crisis — is sugar industry. Every year the beginning of the sugarcane crushing season is a highly contentious one with the varied interests setting different dates.
The sugarcane growers want the crushing to start early so that delay does not dry up the cane and the mill owners want it late — after they had exhausted their existing stocks of sugar and the imported sugar in the market. The same is happening this year with the different interests suggesting varied dates and the government preferring October 15. Meanwhile after the Punjab government had announced the price of Rs 60 for 40 kg of sugarcane, the Sindh government announced Rs 67 for the same.
The millowners in Sindh preferred Rs 61. The Sindh cane is supposed to be more juicy and hence deserving a higher price, but the millowners stayed away from the hurriedly convened meeting by the chief minister who took unilateral decision. Meanwhile, the millowners want to delay the crushing so that stocks with them against bank loans were exhausted and the stocks in the market too become far less.
And they have asked for an import duty of 20 per cent on sugar. So that they can sell the sugar at higher prices. The government is not too ready to accept it and sustain high prices in the open market
The system is loaded against the consumer and this Ramazan is no different from the earlier ones despite the prime minister’s efforts to hold down the prices through the utility stores.

