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August 29, 2006
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Tuesday
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Sha'aban 4, 1427
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Indian rupee firmer
MUMBAI, Aug 28: The Indian rupee ended firmer on Monday, as the euro rose against the dollar ahead of fresh US economic data and dollar sales by exporters and non-resident Indians.
The partially convertible rupee ended at 46.50/51 per dollar, about 0.11 per cent higher than Friday's close of 46.55/56.
But the rupee, which analysts say is overvalued by about 3 per cent on a trade-weighted basis , has weakened by 3.14 per cent in 2006.
Dealers said dollar selling came at the day's low of 46.57. There was a rush of (dollar) inflows at this level. Bulk of this was from exporters and remittances by non-resident Indians, residing in the Gulf, said a dealer with a private bank.
Dealers said exporters were selling heavily in the forwards, which helped boost sentiment for the spot rupee. The inflows helped offset some of the earlier losses caused by the yen's drop against major currencies.
The yen hit a new low against the euro on expectations the Bank of Japan may take its time raising interest rates, while dealers said the minutes of the Federal Reserves's Aug. 8 meeting could shed light on whether the U.S. central bank may leave interest rates unchanged at its next meeting.
The Fed minutes are due on Tuesday. On Friday, the US August jobs data will be published. The Fed left interest rates unchanged in its Aug. 8 meeting, ending its two-year rate tightening campaign.
Some currency traders expect the rupee to inch up on Tuesday, if crude prices fall further. Oil prices traded above $71 a barrel on Monday.
India imports about 70 per cent of its oil and a rise in crude prices raises the risk of widening the deficit and pushing the Indian unit lower.
Traders said stock market flows, a key influencing factor in the rupee's level this year, have also lent support to the rupee. Foreign funds have invested around $3.58 billion in Indian equities in 2006, and their inflows have started tricking in after a massive sell-off in May and June.
Foreigners pumped in $10.7 billion in the whole of last year.
Their robust inflows last year helped cushion the rupee from a widening trade deficit caused by high oil prices and rising imports in a robustly growing economy.—Reuters
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