In the background of sordid stories of sale of secrets by nuclear technologists, Pakistan has witnessed all kinds of crime known to man committed on its soil in a short span of time. It makes a long catalogue of death and gloom.
The president was lucky to escape two murderous attempts on his life but not that lucky were nine others in his motorcade or passers-by, nor were the Malir parliamentarian Abdullah Murad and four more killed on his funeral day. Then a young jeweller who was shot dead by the bandits in the throbbing heart of commercial Karachi.
Unprecedented in magnitude even for recurring sectarian violence was the massacre of mourners at Quetta. The dead belonged to a minority sect, a minority ethnic group and were poor and peaceful. The suspicion is that the police and para-military force accompanying the procession did not save but kill more of them. With the dead remaining uncounted, some unidentified and belonging to a tribe decimated and made refugee by the Afghan civil war, the poignant wait of their mothers and children to return home may prove endless.
The grief of murder after rape of two girls in rural Karachi, both below 10, may soon fade away but the shame of it will remain etched in the conscience of the people for a long time to come.
This sad litany can go on yet the government keeps assuring that the law and order is normal and improving and the political leaders, in their safety and affluence, keep proclaiming that Pakistan is a fortress of Islam and its ideology, that is the dogma and not the lives of the people, must be protected. The killers, if at all caught, do not live to tell the tale. Suicides and encounters silence them.
In this environment of crime and duplicity, helplessness and uncertainty, pessimism and forebodings, the old sentiments have come up with renewed force for change in the system and its custodians not in government alone but in the society as a whole, not in politics alone but also in the religious order, not just in the institutions of the state but in the structure of the state itself.
The demands cover a wide and radical range. Most are old-standing but articulated more loudly now. Here is a sampling of the extremes of this gamut.
Altaf Husain whose party, the MQM, is a part of the government at the centre and in Sindh wants to change over to the presidential system for only that would safeguard the rights of the provinces and empower the middle class too.
Wali Khan's ANP wants the federal parliament to be supreme and yet holds that for Pakistan to be strong, most powers must vest in the provinces and not in the centre.
Mumtaz Bhutto's Sindh National Front harks back to the Lahore Resolution of 1940 which, amid public roar, declared that the constituent units of the new state would be autonomous and sovereign. The subsequent close-door and restricted deliberations could not have altered that position.
Sardar Ataullah Mengal, breaking a long sullen silence of Baloch chiefs, asks for (Dawn, March 5) a new constituent assembly directly elected by the people in which all provinces are equally represented to make a new constitution in which they all share power equally. He would let the present parliament, assemblies and other organs of the state keep functioning till his proposed assembly adopts a new constitution and goes into dissolution.
All these demands can be ignored, as they have been till now, for they arise from the smaller provinces and that too from the smaller parties. The grievance embodied in all these demands is against the larger political parties which dominate the parliament and against the larger province - Punjab - which dominates the civil and military bureaucracy. The devolution plan has given a sharper edge to this grievance.
The larger, or mainstream, parties despite their competing interests and ambitions of their leaders do not ask for, in fact resist, any basic change in the form of government, nor in the present distribution of powers and subjects between the centre and the provinces. It is equally true of Punjab which being larger than the other three provinces put together, in any case, gets its voice heard.
The nationalist leaders like Ataullah Mengal and Mumtaz Bhutto, thus, cannot be faulted for their lament that in an arrangement where regional demands or aspirations find no chance of expression and fulfilment either at the national plane or even in the provinces cannot be called a true federation. Equal representation of the provinces in the Senate is of no consequence as it only reflects the numerical strength of the parties and the provinces in the National Assembly and, further, the legislative powers of the Senate are limited and it has no say at all in the executive functions.
It will be imprudent to continue to ignore the demand of the regional parties for greater influence in the affairs of their own provinces and larger representation in the federation on the ground that the majority view prevails at both levels. East Pakistan may have been a distant and altogether a different problem but general and seething disgruntlement in Sindh - both rural and urban - in the North-West Frontier Province and Balochistan has been erupting into minor insurgencies in the past. The regional environment and foreign intervention can now blow them up or drive them underground.
A repeat of the mistake or cavalier fire-display of the kind which caused the death of eleven tribesmen in South Waziristan can trigger it all off. The trouble may be caused by a few but the sentiment behind it would be shared by many.
The Musharraf government needs to pay heed to what the nationalist leaders and clan chiefs of Balochistan, Frontier and Sindh have to say for a more pressing and selfish reason. Unlike the religious parties they would truly help the government in keeping the Taliban and their allied fanatics at bay which the US deputy defence secretary Paul Wolfowitz's latest statement suggests the MMA religious alliance isn't doing despite its high stake in the current power arrangement.
The nationalist groups would also lend greater support to President Musharraf's Kashmir, India and economic policies than is lent by most elements and individuals in the coalition he has put together to rule. He should cherish it.
If going out to seek the support of the nationalist leaders is too long a first jump, the president could open a window on the political and economic imperatives outside his charmed circle by hearing what the come-together PPP founders (Mustafa Jatoi, Hafeez Pirzada, Mubashir Hasan, Mustafa Khar and others) or the like-minded veterans of the middle road, the former Speaker Illahi Bakhsh Soomro recently assembled, have to say on his internal politics and external relations. Their own political career having all but ended they are expected to possess the necessary gravitas to advise him on how best the diverse political forces can be balanced to manage the country.
Those riding his powerwagon already or tempted to jump onto it along the way wish and ask for no change because for most of them it is the last ride.
The chief of the Q-League who has balanced his political career on the military and Islam of Ziaul Haq's brand and is now Musharraf's political anchor best represents this dogged resistance to change. He opposes even a review of the repressive and discriminatory laws Zia enacted, for it would open a Pandora's box and harm Islam too. That leaves us where we are.