Pitfalls of manipulation
By Tahir Mirza
GENERAL Pervez Musharraf was sworn in as president shortly before the National Assembly convened for its inaugural sitting on Saturday. His new term of five years is predicated on the referendum held last April. The Legal Framework Order and most of the controversial ordinances have also come in the wake of the referendum. It should thus be seen as an important constitutional and political benchmark
The government had claimed an approval rating of at least 90 per cent in the referendum. General Musharraf had later apologized for instances of rigging, but he had not dismissed the entire referendum as a bogus exercise. It was boycotted by most of the country’s political parties, but General Musharraf had claimed that the silent majority had participated in it and expressed its support for his policies. These, in the words of the proposition framed for the referendum, included his efforts to “combat extremism and sectarianism for the security of the state and tranquillity of society”. There were no electoral lists for the referendum, and even the condition of producing one’s identity card to vote was at some point held in abeyance. Almost every adult citizen could take part in it.
That was in April. Presumably many of those who voted in the referendum also cast their ballots in the October elections. If the government’s contention about the support reflected in the referendum is accepted as correct, how are the general election results to be evaluated? What has happened to the “silent majority”, which must have included people in the Frontier and Balochistan provinces, in these six months?
The largest parties to have emerged in parliament as a result of the October polls are the PML(Q), the PPP, and the religious grouping, the MMA. In terms of the popular vote, the PPP is ahead of all other parties. Together with the PML(N), it had declared itself staunchly opposed to military rule and Gen Musharraf’s policies. Some of the components of the MMA had adopted a similar position. So, suddenly the verdict obtained in the referendum comes in clash with the general election results. Such a sea change in attitudes in such a short period of time requires, at the very least, some rational explanation.
Both the referendum and the election came post- 9/11, and public opinion in the two provinces bordering Afghanistan should have been as exercised about the US-led campaign in Afghanistan in April as it appears to have been in October. Indeed, there should have been greater resentment then because the campaign was at a greater level of intensity in that period. Yet we find that forces commonly identified with extremism and sectarianism have emerged with greater electoral backing than ever before in Balochistan and the NWFP, making inroads in the other provinces also. Clearly, this phenomenon is attributable to the strong anti-US sentiment among large sections of the people.
The obvious conclusion should be that the referendum was a totally contrived affair and did not reflect ground realities. At this stage, this can only be a source of vicarious satisfaction for critics of the government. But what is perhaps more important is that it underlines the pitfalls of over-manipulating the electoral or political process. The October election result itself is evidence of that: the PML-Q got fewer votes than the government wanted and the MMA more than it wished.
This in turn has led to new attempts at manipulation — and accusations that the military-led administration is resorting to the same tactics of buying legislators and putting pressure on them that politicians have often been blamed for. The military’s credibility as an honest broker in national affairs was dented by the referendum and has since been further eroded.
Wouldn’t a more upfront approach have been less bruising? Instead of a referendum, President Musharraf could easily have opened talks with the PPP, the PML-N, the religious and other parties and worked out the terms of an agreement whereby he could remain president and be ratified as such by parliament. But in those days before April the regime was riding high, and its spokesmen making contemptuous references to “corrupt” politicians and ruling out any dialogue with them. Now we have daily reports of high-level government contacts with politicians and confidantes of the two leaders most reviled by the regime, Benazir Bhutto and Nawaz Sharif. That’s how the cookie crumbles.


Lead playing havoc with human life
By Maisoon Hussein
KARACHI: The government has cut down the level of lead, a toxic heavy metal, in gasoline, from 0.35 gm/lit to 0.05 gm/lit. “Although this is a positive step, what we need is completely lead-free gasoline,” says Ahmed Saeed, an environment expert who heads the Environment Assessment Services, IUCN.
This is because the cumulative effect of emissions from more than one million vehicles that ply Karachi roads alone, can still impact badly on health. Emission from automobiles is the single largest source of lead in the atmosphere.
Lead, once it enters the body, affects the central nervous system. It causes mental dullness and retention problems among children, who are far more affected than adults. “Studies have shown as much as 5.8 decline in IQ for every 10 microgramme increase of lead in blood levels,” says Saeed.
A study conducted by Dr Franklin White, Professor at the Department of Community Health Sciences at AKU, in 2001 shows reason for concern. He examined the lead level of 400 children aged 3-5 years, from randomly selected households in Karachi. Some 80 per cent children in the sample had blood lead levels of 10 microgrammes, and 18 per cent had lead levels of 20-30 microgrammes and 2 per cent above 30 microgrammes.
The findings show that “the majority of children in Karachi are likely to suffer some degree of intellectual damage as a result of environmental lead exposure.” Some may even suffer “additional harm” such as “biochemical disturbances.” Although the average blood lead level in children was half of that reported in a study conducted earlier in 1989 by a team of AKU researchers, it still calls for “public health concern.” Generally, elevated blood lead level causes loss of appetite, anaemia, malaise, headache, irritability, etc. In 1994, Dr Syed Mashadi’s study of 100 policemen in Karachi showed that about one-third of the healthy men recruited from rural areas developed loss of concentration, headaches, even vertigo, within two years of being posted in the city streets. Besides vehicular emissions, thermal power stations and industries are also emitting lead among other pollutants “that exceed the NEQS standard.”
Lead can also enter the body through the food chain. This occurs because lead vapour in the air is deposited, among other things, on leaves and grass. When people eat contaminated vegetables or drink milk of cows that have grazed on these plants, they also absorb the lead. In a survey conducted by the Quaid-e-Azam University, milk from many dairy farms along the Grand Trunk Road contained more than 2-3 times lead than the “safe level” recommended by the WHO.
Saeed reminds that lead is still being used by most paint manufacturers in Pakistan. “Although one company makes lead-free paint, most people don’t know why they need to use such paints. This can be conveyed to consumers through ads of such paints,” he says. Such paints are also priced high which discourages their use.
Similarly, the common household practice of polishing brass cooking utensils or qalai “contains a high level of lead” and this permeates into the food cooked in such utensil. Glazed earthen pottery also contains lead, and so does the food cooked in such a utensils, as is “the practice in some restaurants.”
Most worrisome, he says, is that old water pipelines contain lead, which is then carried in the drinking water. One measure he advocates is making catalytic converters, meant to contain the harmful gaseous emissions from motor vehicles, “a standard feature in all new vehicles sold in the country.” The government should also step into the manufacturing sector and introduce regulations to control, if not eliminate, the use of lead in items of common use.

