Pakistan hosts the first round of face-to-face talks between the US and Iran in 47 years in April; the talks end without a breakthrough, but also without a breakdown
US, Iran hold high-level talks in Switzerland on June 20 after signingpreliminary agreement to end the war; hold talks in Doha on July 1, with mediators citing “positive progress”
US launches strikes on Iran on July 8 in response to attacks on ships in Hormuz, Tehran retaliates as strait heats up again
Yemen’s civil war flares up after Saudi-backed government attacks Sanaa airport
Iran’s Acting Oil Minister Hamid Bovard has said Iran’s energy diplomacy is advancing dynamically and with strong resolve, despite challenges stemming from the hostile actions of its adversaries.
Speaking to IRNA after accompanying President Pezeshkian to the 8th Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF) in Moscow, Bovard noted the prospect of attracting new Russian investment.
Referring to Pezeshkian’s meeting with his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin, at the Kremlin, as well as his own bilateral discussions with the Russian Energy Minister, Bovard described the interactions between the two sides as positive and constructive.
UN rights chief Volker Turk has expressed hope that a new Israeli government will “change course massively” and respect international law, as the country’s political future hangs in the balance after hard-fought elections, AFP reports.
“The message is: don’t continue the current course of warfare where you think you are above international law, because I think that’s what we have frankly seen in the current environment,” he tells reporters in New York.
“Israel has its obligations under international law, international humanitarian law, international human rights law, and they need to respect them, and I hope that the next government will do precisely that and change course massively,” the Austrian diplomat adds.
Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has said Tehran is in “close and ongoing contact with intermediaries” regarding the potential implementation of its seven-day plan regarding the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
“While our brave armed forces are fully prepared to defend the homeland, Iran continues to give diplomacy a chance to succeed,” Araghchi wrote on X.
“We remain in close and ongoing contact with intermediaries to review ideas that can ensure implementation of our 7-Day Plan in even less than a week,” he added.
Saudi Defence Minister Khalid bin Salman has discussed the latest regional developments during a phone call with his Malaysian counterpart, Mohamed Khaled bin Nordin, according to a post on social media.
“We reviewed the developments of the regional situation, and we condemned the sinful attacks launched by the terrorist Houthi militia against the kingdom and the Holy Places,” he writes on X.
US Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee says only Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and US President Donald Trump know if there will be a renewed military operation against Iran, according to Al Jazeera.
Speaking to Newsmax TV, Huckabee was asked whether political uncertainty in Israel could lead to striking Iran.
“I think the US and Israel will make the decision based on what’s best for the two countries,” he said. “President Trump will make it based on what’s best for America, and the [Israeli] Prime Minister will make that decision based on what’s best for Israel and its security.”
“Frankly, there are only two people on the planet who know if something is going to happen and, if so, when,” he said, referring to Trump and Netanyahu.
The Israeli army has instructed residents of the Deir Mimas municipality in southern Lebanon to open their windows, Al Jazeera reports citing Lebanese national media.
The army warned of a massive explosion in the town’s vicinity.
Benjamin Netanyahu is expected to face more constraints as Israel’s caretaker prime minister after the election, but experts say his government could still retain significant powers, including when it comes to waging war on Iran, Reuters reports.
If you look at the letter of the law, a caretaker government has the same authority, has the same powers as a regular government, said Guy Lurie, a research fellow at the Israel Democracy Institute, adding, however, that a caretaker government has a duty of restraint and more limited discretion to act in some areas.
A caretaker government faces limitations when it comes to issues such as appointments, but has leeway to act in matters where there is a public interest, analysts say.
In general, security issues are the clearest exception to this duty of restraint, said Or Asher, a researcher at the Tel Aviv-based Tachlith Institute, noting that Israel’s supreme court has previously held that a caretaker government must avoid far-reaching decisions unless they are justified by a pressing necessity.
An aide speaks to Israeli Prime Minister and Likud party leader Benjamin Netanyahu as he gives a statement following exit polls for Israel’s national election, at Likud’s election headquarters in Jerusalem, on Oct 28, 2026. — Reuters
Oil prices have climbed about two per cent as continued fighting in Yemen and an attack on a refinery in Saudi Arabia renew concerns about additional supply disruptions from the Middle East, Reuters reports.
Brent futures were up $1.81, or 1.6pc, to $115.69 per barrel at 1442 GMT (7:42pm PKT), while US West Texas Intermediate crude rose $2.52, or 2.5pc, to $102.42.
Director of Al-Thawra Hospital in Yemen’s Taiz Abdulrahman al-Sabri tells Al Jazeera that the facility lacks essential supplies, including medicine, amid a tightening siege of the city.
“We are suffering greatly at the moment because of this blockade, as well as the failure to deliver essential supplies, including diesel fuel, medicines and other vital life-saving necessities,” al-Sabri.
He stresses that the hospital urgently needs diesel fuel to generate electricity and medicine and medical supplies for emergency care and surgeries, adding that 400 dialysis patients are especially vulnerable to the shortages.
Many Iranians are bracing for another potential round of attacks from the US and Israel, amid increasing suggestions of a new military campaign after Washington and Tel Aviv’s election cycles, Al Jazeera reports.
Tehran resident Sajad, 37, believes there will be renewed conflict regardless of the outcome of Israel’s elections.
“I haven’t followed the Israeli election very closely. But I think there will be more fighting whether Netanyahu wins or Eisenkot or someone else,” Sajad tells the broadcaster.
Canada’s central bank has raised its key interest rate to 2.5 per cent, its first hike since 2023, citing rising oil prices driven by the ongoing war, Reuters reports.
The Bank of Canada has maintained that the economy faces two competing pressures: growth is being hampered by President Donald Trump’s trade war, but inflation is rising due to the US conflict with Iran.
The bank said Wednesday that Canadian businesses are “adapting” to the changing trade relationship with the US, suggesting growth could be stronger than initially expected.
The World Bank warns that global commodity prices are set to increase by 23 per cent by the end of 2026, with energy prices at four-year highs due to the war on Iran and food prices driven up by global conflicts and El Nino, AFP reports.
“Commodity markets are being hit by several major shocks at once,” says the lender’s deputy chief economist Ayhan Kose in a statement, accompanying the release of the organization’s Commodity Markets Outlook report.
“Higher energy costs and trade disruptions are driving up prices across a broad range of commodities, threatening to worsen inflation, food insecurity, and economic growth.”
Food prices are expected to rise by 10 percent in 2026 and another seven percent next year, due to conflict-affected grain supply lines, the effects of an extreme El Nino phenomenon and high fuel and fertilizer prices.
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian has promised to fulfil a recent directive from Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei to end the current state of “neither war nor peace”, according to state news agency IRNA.
Chairing a cabinet meeting, Pezeshkian says the government will “pursue the realisation and fulfilment of the leader’s decree earnestly, and with all its capacity”.
Global commodity prices are set to surge 23 per cent in 2026, the World Bank said, citing rising energy prices and disruptions to cargo shipping during the Middle East war, grain shipment problems in the Black Sea and high demand for safe-haven assets such as gold, Reuters reports.
Oil, natural gas, food and metals prices all rose sharply this year as global shocks mounted, the World Bank said in its latest Commodity Markets Outlook.
It said the situation could worsen if the conflict in the Middle East ratcheted up and damage to Russian oil infrastructure continued.
Kuwait has summoned Iran’s ambassador to protest a statement by the Iranian embassy which it said amounted to interference in its internal affairs, Reuters reports citing the foreign ministry.
Earlier, the Iranian embassy in Kuwait rejected what it described as Kuwaiti allegations that Iranian nationals were involved in a plot to assassinate individuals and undermine the Gulf state’s security.
Kuwait rejected any interference in rulings issued by its courts and called on Iran to comply with international law and the UN Charter, particularly the principle of good-neighbourliness, the ministry says in a statement.
A missile has targeted Yemen’s Aden airport for the second time, a police official tells AFP, after the Houthi rebels called for the evacuation of the facility.
“A Houthi missile targeted the area under Saudi forces’ control inside the perimeter of Aden airport,” the Aden police official tells AFP, requesting anonymity to discuss sensitive topics.
Yemen’s Houthis claim that Saudi strikes on its territory have killed a dozen people, AFP reports.
Houthi broadcaster Al Masirah reports 14 dead “and 10 wounded, including women and children in a preliminary toll”, in attacks blamed on Saudi Arabia that hit a market and a petrol station in the northwestern Jawf province.
The US has told several Gulf Arab countries to prepare for a “short, intense military campaign” against Iran after the Nov 3 midterm elections, Anadolu reports citing The Wall Street Journal, which cited people briefed on the conversations.
The messages, conveyed through diplomatic and military channels, are among growing signs that the US and Israel are preparing a new round of heavy combat operations to weaken Iran and push it toward negotiations, according to the report.
Washington is moving a Patriot missile defense system from Texas to the region and has moved troops from bases where they were vulnerable, while US forces are restocking munitions and preparing bombers and fighter jets for strikes, the newspaper says, citing officials.
An additional aircraft carrier strike group and a Marine expeditionary unit are expected to join roughly 20 US warships in the Middle East next month, it adds.
US President Donald Trump has not made a final decision but is leaning toward a “large postelection attack” that could target Iranian infrastructure and nuclear sites, the report says, citing people familiar with his thinking.
German chemicals giant BASF raised its 2026 profit outlook for the second time this year after increasing prices to clients following the outbreak of the ongoing war, AFP reports.
The maker of products ranging from automotive paints to sunscreen ingredients now expects a core profit of 7.4 billion to 7.8bn euros ($8.2 to $8.7bn) this year, up from a previous forecast of 6.9bn to 7.7bn euros.
Oil prices have risen by one per cent after an attack on a refinery in Saudi Arabia, the world’s top crude exporter, renews concerns about supply risks due to the conflicts in the Middle East, Reuters reports.
Brent crude futures are up $1.31, or 1.2pc, to $115.19 a barrel as of 1115 GMT (4:15pm PKT). US West Texas Intermediate crude has gained $1.75, or 1.8pc, at $101.65.
Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar has exchanged views on regional developments in a phone call with his Omani counterpart, Badr Albusaidi, with the pair reaffirming their “shared commitment to regional peace and stability”, the Foreign Office says.
Yemen’s Houthis have called for the immediate evacuation of the airport in Aden, seat of the Saudi-backed internationally recognised government, a city that has been targeted several times by the Houthis in recent weeks, AFP reports.
“Our armed forces call on those present at Aden airport to immediately evacuate due to the presence of a military cargo plane belonging to the Saudi enemy transporting weapons to kill the sons of the Yemeni people,” Houthi military spokesman Yahya Saree said in a post on Telegram.
A Houthi missile fell inside the perimeter of the airport in Aden, the seat of Yemen’s internationally recognised government, shortly before the group had issued a call to evacuate the area, AFP reports, citing a police source who spoke on the condition of anonymity for security reasons.