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Gold recovers as dollar slides

August 18, 2018

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LONDON: Gold recovered some ground on Friday as a weakening US dollar relieved pressure on prices, but the metal remained near 19-month lows and looked set for its biggest weekly fall since May 2017.

Gold has tumbled 14 per cent from its April high as a rally in the greenback made dollar-priced bullion more expensive for buyers with other currencies.

From a 13-month high on Wednesday against a basket of peers , the dollar has weakened against the currencies of key gold markets the euro zone and China, helping gold regain its footing, said ABN AMRO analyst Georgette Boele.

“I expect the dollar to peak in the coming weeks ... Gold should bottom out here,” she said.

Spot gold was up 0.5pc at $1,178.81 an ounce at 1345 GMT but down 2.6pc this week in its sixth consecutive weekly loss. On Thursday it touched $1,159.96, the lowest since January 2017.

“It’s reasonable to expect prices to retrace some of the recent aggressive move down in the short term, but there doesn’t seem to be evidence for a sustained move higher yet,” said Nicholas Frappell, general manager at ABC Bullion.

Holdings of gold by exchange-traded funds tracked by Reuters are down 4 million ounces, or 7pc, from late May, with a new bout of selling this week.

Bets on lower prices on the Comex exchange, meanwhile, continue to build and now outweigh bets on higher prices by the largest quantity ever recorded.

“Everyone who wants to be short is short, and if you are still long and have held your position all the way down, why would you sell here?” On the technical side, Fibonacci resistance was at $1,185.30 with support at the January 2017 low of $1,146.20, analysts at ScotiaMocatta said, adding that gold would likely fall further.

In other precious metals, silver was up 0.5pc at $14.68 an ounce and down 4pc this week, the biggest weekly loss since February. On Thursday it touched its lowest since February 2016.

Platinum was 0.2pc higher at $778.90 and set for its biggest weekly drop since November 2015, down 5.9pc. It hit a 10-year low on Thursday.

Palladium gained 0.9pc to $897.98 but was down 1.6pc this week having struck a one-year low.

Published in Dawn, August 18th, 2018