European Central Bank President Mario Draghi.—Reuters
European Central Bank President Mario Draghi.—Reuters

FRANKFURT: European Central Bank head Mario Draghi says that new trade barriers are the main risk to Europe’s economy and that it’s up to the EU to “lead by example” by supporting economic openness and reforming its institutions.

Draghi told the European parliament Monday that the bank had decided to phase out its 2.4 trillion-euro ($2.8tr), three-year stimulus program at year-end because inflation is finally in line with the ECB’s goal of just under 2 per cent.

Economic growth has created 8.4 million jobs since mid-2013 but there are risks now that “mainly relate to the threat of increased protectionism,” he said.

US President Donald Trump has imposed tariffs on steel and aluminum imports and on a range of Chinese goods, leading to retaliation from China, the EU and others. Trump’s moves have emphasized national interest and country-to-country deals, instead of putting trade issues in international, rules-based frameworks such as the World Trade Organisation.

Draghi said that “a strong and united European Union can help reap the benefits of economic openness while protecting its citizens against unchecked globalisation.”

“In leading by example, the EU can lend support to multilateralism and global trade, which have been cornerstones of growing economic prosperity over the past seven decades,” he said.

Draghi said that to do that the EU needed to strengthen its own institutions. Those measures would include strengthening the setup of the 19-country euro currency. Draghi urged risk-sharing measures such as EU-level deposit insurance that would reassure depositors their savings would be safe even if their country ran into financial trouble.

He said that sharing financial risk between eurozone countries can strengthen the system.

He cited the work of the US Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. With its backstop from the US Federal Government, the FDIC could wind up 500 troubled banks without causing financial instability.

The corresponding number of banks that were wound up in the eurozone was ten times lower another reason the region’s banking sector still faces difficulties.

Published in Dawn, July 10th, 2018

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