Proven link of Assad to gas attack lacking: US

Published September 9, 2013
A general view of damaged buildings is seen as a result of shelling from forces loyal to President Bashar al-Assad, according to activists, in Ariha countryside, Sept 7, 2013. — Photo by Reuters
A general view of damaged buildings is seen as a result of shelling from forces loyal to President Bashar al-Assad, according to activists, in Ariha countryside, Sept 7, 2013. — Photo by Reuters

WASHINGTON: President Barack Obama's top aide on Sunday pressed the case for ''targeted, limited consequential action'' to degrade the capabilities of Syrian President Bashar Assad to carry out chemical weapons attacks as the White House mounted a major push to win support from a divided Congress and skeptical American public for a military strike.

White House Chief of Staff Denis McDonough asserted that a ''common-sense test'' dictates that the Syrian government is responsible for a chemical weapons attack that Obama says demands a US response.

But he said the Obama administration lacks ''irrefutable, beyond-a-reasonable-doubt evidence'' that lawmakers who will start voting on military action this week are seeking.

''This is not a court of law. And intelligence does not work that way,'' White House chief of staff Denis McDonough said, part of a five-network public relations blitz Sunday to build support for limited strikes against Assad.

''The common-sense test says he is responsible for this. He should be held to account,'' McDonough said of the Syrian leader who for two years has resisted calls from inside and outside his country to step down.

McDonough pressed the case for ''targeted, limited consequential action to deter and degrade'' the capabilities of Assad's regime ''to carry out these terrible attacks again”.

The US, citing intelligence reports, says sarin gas was used in the Aug 21 attack outside Damascus, and that 1,429 people died, including 426 children.

The number is higher than that, said Khalid Saleh, head of the press office at the anti-Assad Syrian Coalition who was in Washington to lobby lawmakers to back Obama.

Some of those involved in the attacks later died in their homes and opposition leaders were weighing releasing a full list of names of the dead.

But the Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, which collects information from a network of anti-government activists, says it has so far only been able to confirm 502 dead.

In an interview Sunday, Assad told US journalist Charlie Rose there is not conclusive evidence about who is to blame and again suggested the rebels were responsible.

From Beirut, Rose described his interview that is set to be released Monday on television shows hosted by Rose.

Asked about Assad's claims there is no evidence he used the weapons, Secretary of State John Kerry told reporters in London: ''The evidence speaks for itself.''

Obama has planned his own public relations effort. He has scheduled six network interviews on Monday and then a nationally televised speech from the White House on Tuesday, the eve of the first votes in Congress.

Obama will meet with Senate Democrats Tuesday, a Senate aide said, speaking on condition of anonymity because he was not authorised to publically discuss the meeting before its official announcement.

On Wednesday, the Democratic-led Senate is expected to hold the first showdown vote over a resolution that would authorise the ''limited and specified use'' of US armed forces against Syria for no more than 90 days and barring American ground troops from combat. A final vote is expected at week's end.

A vote in the Republican-controlled House of Representatives appears likely during the week of Sept 16.

Obama faces a tough audience on Capitol Hill. A survey by The Associated Press shows that House members who are staking out positions are either opposed to or leaning against Obama's plan for a military strike by more than a 6-1 margin.

''Lobbing a few Tomahawk missiles will not restore our credibility overseas,'' said Rep. Mike McCaul, the Texas Republican who chairs the House Homeland Security Committee.

Added Rep. Loretta Sanchez, a California Democrat: ''For the president to say that this is just a very quick thing and we're out of there, that's how long wars start.''

Nearly half of the 433-member House of Representatives and a third of the 100-member Senate remain undecided, the AP survey found.

''Just because Assad is a murderous tyrant doesn't mean his opponents are any better,'' said Sen. Ted Cruz, a conservative Texas Republican.

But some of Assad's opponents are pleading for aid.

''The world is watching, and Syrians are wondering: When is the international community going to act and intervene to protect them?'' said Saleh, the spokesman for the Western-backed opposition seeking US strikes.

On Saturday, a US official released a DVD compilation of videos showing attack victims that the official said were shown to senators during a classified briefing on Thursday. The images have become a rallying point for the administration.

''Those videos make it clear to people that these are real human beings, real children, parents being affected in ways that are unacceptable to anybody, anywhere by any standards,'' Kerry said in Paris.

But McDonough conceded the United States doesn’t have concrete evidence Assad was behind the chemical attacks.

Recent opinion surveys show intense American skepticism about military intervention in Syria, even among those who believe Syria’s government used chemical weapons on its people.

Congress, perhaps, is even more dubious.

“It’s an uphill slog,” said Rep. Mike Rogers, the Republican chairman of the House Intelligence Committee who supports strikes on Assad.

“I think it’s very clear he’s lost support in the last week,” Rogers added, speaking of the president.

Complicating the effort in the Senate is the possibility that 60 votes may be required to authorise a strike.

Republican Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky said he would consider a filibuster, but noted the delay tactic was unlikely to permanently nix a vote. Paul would, however, insist his colleagues consider an amendment to the resolution that would bar Obama from launching strikes if Congress votes against the measure.

Still, Sen. Harry Reid, the Democratic leader, has predicted authorisation and McDonough, too, on Sunday telegraphed optimism.

“They do not dispute the intelligence when we speak with them,” McDonough said.

But while the publicly discussed information lacks a direct link between Assad and weapons, the private briefs are no better, two lawmakers said.

“The evidence is not as strong as the public statements that the president and the administration have been making,” said Rep. Justin Amash, R-Mich. “There are some things that are being embellished in the public statements. ... The briefings have actually made me more skeptical about the situation.”

Rep. Buck McKeon, R-Calif., said “they have evidence showing the regime has probably the responsibility for the attacks”.

But that’s not enough to start military strikes. “They haven’t linked it directly to Assad, in my estimation,” said McKeon, chairman of the House Armed Services Committee.

McDonough, an Obama foreign policy adviser dating back to his 2008 presidential campaign, said the dots connect themselves.

The material “was delivered by rockets — rockets which we know the Assad regime has and we have no indication that the opposition has”.

Congress resumes work Monday after its summer break, but already a heated debate is under way about Syria.

Vice President Joe Biden planned to host a dinner Sunday night for a group of Senate Republicans.

Obama’s national security adviser, Susan Rice, plans to discuss Syria in a speech Monday at the New America Foundation and later meet with members of the Congressional Black Caucus. A bipartisan, classified briefing for Congress is set for Monday and another is slated for Wednesday.

McDonough plans to meet Tuesday with the House Democratic Caucus.

Obama planned to address the nation on Tuesday ahead of Wednesday’s first showdown vote in the Senate over a resolution that would authorise the “limited and specified use” of US armed forces against Syria for no more than 90 days and barring American ground troops from combat. A final vote is expected at week’s end.

A House vote appears likely during the week of Sept 16.

McDonough spoke with ABC’s “This Week,” CBS’ “Face the Nation,” NBC’s “Meet the Press,” CNN’s “State of the Union” and “Fox News Sunday.” McCaul and Sanchez were on NBC. Cruz appeared on ABC. Rogers and Amash spoke to CBS. Paul was interviewed on Fox. McKeon was on CNN.

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