MOSAIC: Monkey business ahead
THE Year of the Monkey, Chinese soothsayers predict, will bring a stock market boom, a freer yuan currency — and a hefty dose of political chaos.
The year, that started on Thursday, like the temperamental animal from which the Lunar New Year borrows its sign, 2004 will keep everyone on their toes with revolution and change, say the soothsayers.
“It’s always a naughty year with the monkey around,” Xu Kun, a glamorous Beijing-based adviser to tycoons and politicians, said as she aimed an eight-pointed compass, the basic tool of her trade.
“With luck flowing to the northeast, stock markets, especially China’s stock market, will rally,” she said with a confidence backed by thousands of years of collective observation into relationships between the Earth and the heavens.
Practitioners like Master Ang Tian Cheong of Singapore say the Year of the Monkey would propel Chinese economic growth and may bring political chaos to Southeast Asian countries such as Indonesia, Thailand and Malaysia.
A DOG’S LIFE: World stock markets would boom by the second half of the year and Chinese officials would widen the trading band for the yuan currency by summer, he predicted.
Experts said US President George W. Bush, born in the Year of the Dog in 1946, faced a difficult re-election campaign in 2004 even after the capture of Saddam Hussein.
“Years ruled by the Monkey can bring the culmination of family disturbances, accusations and losing face. The Dog’s reputation may be on the line this year,” US-based astrologer Shelly Wu wrote.
Tension in the troubled Middle East would lower slightly owing to a mild dose of luck from the East, practitioners said, though the Monkey year was synonymous with hidden dangers.
While each animal sign repeats every 12 years, the combination of zodiac and element, wood in 2004, happens once every 60 years. In 1944, the last year of the wood monkey, the Allies reached a turning point in World War II and established the Bretton Woods agreement for post-war reconstruction. — Reuters
A challenging experiment
IF you own a PC, then you can become part of what’s being billed as the world’s largest climate-prediction experiment.
A massive worldwide online effort to predict how the global climate will change this century has been launched in the UK. Computer users anywhere on Earth can join by downloading a climate model from a website.
Organized by a coalition of British universities and corporations, the experiment is expected to generate “the world’s most comprehensive probability-based forecast of 21st century climate.”
How? Any computer user can take part by visiting the climateprediction website. Individual computer-users who join the experiment will download a unique version of a climate model developed by the Hadley Centre, one of the world’s most important headquarters for climate science. The model will run when the computer is on, no other applications are in use, and the results will be sent back to the organizers via the Internet when the experiment is complete.
“Together, participants’ results will give us an overall picture of how much human influence has contributed to recent climate change, and of the range of possible changes in the future,” said Oxford University’s Myles Allen.
David Stainforth, the experiment’s chief scientist, said: “While many model studies in the past have made plausible predictions of climate change, it hasn’t been possible to quantify our confidence in these predictions. We hope to be able to say, for the first time, what the climate probably will and, more importantly, probably won’t do in the future.” — Samina Iqbal
Determining the cause
ALZHEIMER’S disease is significant loss of brain cells in the region of higher mental function and memory, states a recent issue of Medicine Digest. The exact cause is not known but nerve fibres that support nutrition to the nerve cells, get tangled and a sticky protein called Beta Amyloid accumulates and forms plaques around the dying nerve cells. It causes reduction in Acetylcholine, necessary for memory and learning.
As beta amyloid breaks down it releases oxygen free radicals, which further damage the nerve cells, Genetic factors also play an important role and environmental toxins as from industry can trigger the degenerative process. People exposed to electromagnetic fields are reported to have a higher incidence of Alzheimer’s disease.
Preventive factors against mental decline are still being determined. Evidence is building that Nonsteroidal Anti-Inflammatory Drugs may reduce the risk by 50 per cent. They prevent accumulation of Beta Amyloid in the brain. Calcium channel blockers and statins used for cholesterol lowering, decrease the risk for Alzheimer’s disease. Hormone Replacement Therapy in menopausal women if taken for ten years or more appears to reduce the chances. Dietary factors as fats and oils in excess are associated with Alzheimer’s disease. But fish oil with omega three fatty acids protects the brain. Studies have shown that eating plenty of dark coloured fruits and vegetables prevents brain aging. Moderate alcohol intake and foods containing folates as avocados, bananas, oranges, asparagus, green leafy vegetables and dried beans are also protectors. Finally aerobic exercise is very important in protecting mental decline during aging.— Dr Fatema Jawad
|