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An icy conundrum solved


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THE mystery of the expansion of sea ice around Antarctica, at the same time as global warming is melting swaths of Arctic sea ice, has been solved using data from US military satellites.

Two decades of measurements show that changing wind patterns around Antarctica have caused a small increase in sea ice, the result of cold winds off the continent blowing ice away from the coastline.“Until now these changes in ice drift were only speculated upon using computer models,” said Paul Holland at the British Antarctic Survey. “Our study of direct satellite observations shows the complexity of climate change.

“The Arctic is losing sea ice five times faster than the Antarctic is gaining it, so, on average, the Earth is losing sea ice very quickly. There is no inconsistency between our results and global warming.”

The extent of sea ice is of global importance because the bright ice reflects sunlight far more than the ocean that melting uncovers, meaning temperature rises still further. This summer saw a record low in Arctic sea ice since satellite measurements began 30 years ago.

Holland said the changing pattern of sea ice at both poles would also affect global ocean circulation, with unknown effects. He noted that while Antarctic sea ice was growing, the Antarctic ice cap — the glacier and snow pack on the continent — was losing mass, with the fresh water flowing into the ocean.

The research on Antarctic sea ice, published in Nature Geoscience, revealed large regional variations. In places where warm winds blowing from the tropics towards Antarctica had become stronger, sea ice was being lost rapidly. But in other areas, sea ice was being added as sea water froze behind the ice being blown away from the coast. The net effect is that there has been an extra 17,000 sq km of sea ice each year since 1978. Antarctica is a continent surrounded by an ocean, whereas the Arctic is an ocean surrounded by a continent. For that reason, said Holland, sea ice was not able to expand by the same mechanism in the Arctic as at the southern pole, because if winds pushed the ice away from the pole it quickly hit land.

Holland did the research with Ron Kwok at Nasa’s jet propulsion laboratory in California, where maps of sea ice movements were created from more than five million individual daily measurements collected over 19 years. — The Guardian, London

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Comments (1) Closed

Ara Nov 13, 2012 10:14pm
Global warming experts having second thoughts after finding that their doomsday predictions haven't materialized. Did they ever thought that the earth has gone through the periods of ice age and warming for thousands of years, in a cycle, and it has been going on from much before the CFC's were invented. Perhaps it is time now for a different theory. Anyway, working on new theory would keep them away from trouble for a long time, and would keep the funding dollars coming. But they would have to come up with new ways of keeping the developing world in check. A new leash ? Maybe!