ISLAMABAD: Muhammad Hammad Azhar, one of the youngest ministers in Pakistan’s new government, is facing a problem that undermines country’s development: getting people to start paying income taxes.

Ending a culture of rampant tax evasion is expected to be high on the agenda in negotiations this month with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) as cash-strapped Pakistan seeks a second bailout since 2013.

State Minister for Revenue Hammad Azhar says he is planning for long-term reforms. But first, he is banking on improved technology to tap existing databases to identify tax dodgers in a nation where less than 1 per cent of the population even files income tax returns.

“There is a lot of catching up to do,” Azhar told Reuters in an interview.

One of the world’s lowest tax collection rates partly help explain the shoddy state of Pakistan’s hospitals and schools, and why the illiteracy rate hovers above 40pc in a nation of 208 million people.

Prime Minister Imran Khan, who took power in August, has vowed to double tax collection by reforming the Federal Bureau of Revenue (FBR), an institution he has called “totally corrupt”.

In recent months, the FBR has launched a crackdown on 350 wealthy people targeting landlords and owners of luxury cars, as well as individuals who have a “trail of large business transactions and business deals” but don’t file tax returns.

But Pakistan’s history is littered with statements by governments announcing crackdowns and pledging reforms that fizzle out because of a lack of political will to force the rich and powerful to pay taxes.

“Reforming the tax system in a country like ours is a gigantic task,” said Yousuf Nazar, a former head of emerging market equity investments at Citigroup in London and author of a book on Pakistan’s political economy. “Powerful interests in the establishment, big businesses and large land-owners are not serious about tax reform.”

To widen the base, Azhar said that the government plans to use a carrot and stick approach: intensify targeting of evaders while at the same time making it easier for payers by allowing them to file taxes under a single window.

He says that his team is using government data on car purchases, bank transactions and air travel histories to build a database that will identify wealthy tax dodgers. But it would take a few months before the disparate data is brought under one platform.

Such efforts are likely to go down well with the IMF, which in return for bailing out Pakistan, is expected to demand structural reforms — including widening the income tax base.

The previous government increased the tax-to-GDP ratio to around 13pc from 10.1pc — but that is still far below the 34pc average among members of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.

As of last year, only 1.6 million people in the country filed tax returns. Out of them, 400,000 showed income below the levels that tax cuts in, another 200,000 had minimal tax, and only 950,000 paid tax of any significance.

There is political will to push through changes and go after non-filers but it is not unanimous across Khan’s party and may not last forever, according to Zeeshan Merchant, a tax expert.

“We don’t need rhetoric. We need action,” he said.

Key tax reforms kicked off last week when Khan’s cabinet separated tax policy from revenue collection. This effectively took away policy-making powers from the FBR, which has a history of imposing indirect taxes to help hit year-end targets.

One of the biggest potential prizes for Azhar is capturing Pakistan’s black economy which many people believe is bigger than the formal $310bn economy.

“We really have to discourage the cash economy,” Azhar said. “All this money is handed in cash under the table, and that’s something we want to make difficult.”

Published in Dawn, November 17th, 2018