
Q. How
is the United States viewing the security of Pakistan’s nuclear installations?
Do the Bush administration, the Congress, and the State Department believe that
there is a possibility of Taliban or other Islamic extremists taking over the
country’s nuclear weapons?
A.
Those who know Pakistan well do not believe that Islamic extremists will take
over the government of Pakistan or installations in its nuclear production
complex. A greater worry is the “insider” threat -- that extremist groups have
managed to place sympathisers within the (nuclear) production complex, or in
military units that are in close proximity to nuclear forces.
Q. How
have the various segments of foreign policy establishment in the United States
reacted to the latest statements by Dr Abdul Qadeer Khan on the centrifuges’
transfer?
A. Most
experts in the United States doubt that Dr Abdul Qadeer Khan was acting on his
own initiative in all cases. Some of what he says may be true, and some may well
be untrue. It is also possible that some transactions began with official
authorisation and then evolved into freelance ones. Khan certainly profited from
his business dealings. He also seems to have been motivated in some cases by a
sense of Islamic solidarity and anti-Americanism. It is probably unwise to
generalise about his activities, other than to say that he did great damage by
making it easier for states to make nuclear weapons. Pakistan’s reputation has
been badly sullied.
Q. Is
the US satisfied by the security, control and regulatory arrangements that
Pakistan has put in place for its nuclear facilities and weapons?
A. Most
experts in the United States agree that Pakistan has belatedly taken important
steps to improve nuclear security. But every country can always do better. Will
there be further instances of Pakistani proliferation? With respect to
officially sanctioned proliferation, I suppose the answer depends on which
country asks Pakistan for help. As for proliferation through “rogue” scientists
from inside the nuclear weapons complex, I do not believe that there will be
another Abdul Qadeer Khan, although lesser abuses are still possible.
Q. There
is a general belief that aid to Pakistan will stop flowing as soon as either the
‘war on terror’ is over…
A. It
is unreasonable to expect that significant aid amounts from the United States in
the future will be provided unconditionally. The good news is that, despite all
the problems between Pakistan and the United States, there is bipartisan support
in the (US) Congress to help Pakistan to become a more secure state that feeds
and educates its citizens, enjoys economic growth, and is not troubled by
internal and foreign security threats. The future of Pakistan is important for
the future of the entire region. If Pakistani governments are serious about
dealing with internal problems, they can expect outside help.
Q. Do
you think pressure on Pakistan on nuclear proliferation as well as the security
of its nuclear assets will increase if there is Democrat president?
A.Different administrations emphasise
different themes, and some aspects of the US policy might change. But the
challenges and opportunities in relations between the United States and Pakistan
outlast changes in administrations. The new US administration – be it Democratic
or Republican -- will have to deal with a deteriorating situation in the
Federally Administered Tribal Areas (Fata) and in the North West Frontier
Province (NWFP) and Pakistani governments that have difficulty delivering on
their promises. - Conducted Via email by
Muhammad Badar Alam |