India and Pakistan need to catch up on their sleep
By Jawed Naqvi
SLEEP apnoea can cause memory loss. India and Pakistan do not seem to sleep well at all. Apart from memory loss, which can be both short term and of longer duration, sleep apnoea results in morning headaches, irritability, mood swings, and a marked tendency to fall asleep while driving.
The latest bout of these symptoms appears to have resulted for both from the trauma of the Mumbai blasts in which 200 innocent people lost their lives. Indian sleuths say the bombing of the packed trains was the handiwork of Pakistan’s home-grown Lashkar-i-Taiba terrorists. Prime Minister Singh has spoken of elements across the border playing a role in the tragedy.
As a consequence India now insists that Pakistan must honour the statement signed in Islamabad on January 6, 2004 by Prime Minister Vajpayee and President Musharraf, before the peace talks it suspended after July 11, can continue. One paragraph of that document specifically requires Pakistan to prevent anti-India militants from training on and carrying out cross-border attacks against its neighbour.
Has Pakistan indeed forgotten something important here for the talks with India to proceed? There is ground to suspect a fault of omission though not of commission by Pakistan. India however is not far behind in its own susceptibility to memory lapses. In their agreement signed in New Delhi on April 18 last year, President Musharraf and Prime Minister Singh had added two ground rules which were meant to deal with precisely the kind of contingency that both countries are facing today.
The importance of the April statement did not end with PresidentMusharraf’s Delhi visit. It was further reiterated when the two leaders met in New York in September last year. In the language of the joint statement the two nuclear neighbours reflected a responsible demeanour dictated by their new military prowess.
For starters the leaders accepted their historic opportunity, which they acknowledged was created by the “improved environment in relations and the overwhelming desire of the people of the two countries for durable peace”. It was a statesman-like agreement when the leaders “determined that the peace process was now irreversible.”
What else did the two determine to be the correct way ahead in Delhi? The Musharraf visit was marked by a devastating attack on the precise venue from where the first peace bus from Srinagar was due to start for Muzaffarabad. The leaders didn’t just brush it off but used the terror attack to fortify their resolve for peace. In fact, the eighth para in the Delhi statement is very clear about what the leaders should have done in the wake of a Mumbai-like situation. After condemning the attempts to disrupt the Srinagar-Muzaffarabad bus service “…The two leaders pledged that they would not allow terrorism to impede the peace process.” Did India not foresee a Mumbai or a Varanasi happening when the prime minister signed the statement? What kind of terrorist attack were they expecting to ignore? The resolve not to allow terrorism to stall their peace process was by far the most mature statement to have ever come out of an India-Pakistan summit.
Sleep apnoea is supposed to make us open to irritability and mood swings. Is this what is happening with the two countries in the context of their current standoff? On the one hand; it is not a life threatening crisis, mind you, as the Indian prime minister has signalled a revival of the peace package within the Kashmir that lies under his control. On the other hand it puts on hold major initiatives for peace between the two countries. It’s a dangerous lull.
The media on both sides has done their bit to stir up all the trouble they possibly can. Is the media having difficulty with sleep too? Or is it simply a sign of complete surrender to everyone responsible for disseminating mindsets instead of credible news. It is curious how gullible the media are when they are doled out tripe on record and off it on a daily basis. One day a spokesman swears that he or she would not comment on hypothetical media reports. Another day the same people would kick up a storm over precisely such a report.
And the media is so tamed by now that it seems to savour the abuse of its intelligence and whatever is left of its integrity. To quote recent examples following the Mumbai blasts. The Indian spokesman went to town over an alleged comment by Foreign Minister Kasuri. Poor Mr. Kasuri has been denying ever since that he ever asked for a solution to the Kashmir dispute to end Mumbai-like assaults. The fact is that it was The Economist magazine that made a clear case for India to resolve the Kashmir issue to avoid future Mumbais from happening. However, The Economist also vehemently happens to support Prime Minister Singh’s messed up economic reforms. Is that why it was spared the usual hostile reaction by the Indian media and their mentors?
From Pakistan, on the other hand, we saw reports of President Musharraf similarly venting his spleen over some alleged Indian threat to carry out hot pursuit of blast suspects across the LOC. I checked with a senior official at the Pakistan High Commission about the reason for President Musharraf’s strong reaction to something that was never said by anyone in authority in India. On the contrary, the man who actually advocated such a pursuit in the 2002 nuclear standoff, had himself opposed the measure this time round. That person was former minister Jaswant Singh.
“It’s your bloody media,” I was told tersely. “They are advocating hot pursuit. How else should we respond to such provocation?” Whether the media was reflecting some official thinking or it was carrying old wives tales as usual is a matter of conjecture in which the president of a nuclear state need not have got himself involved. A joint secretary-level reaction would have sufficed. Unless something more sinister is brewing of which we are oblivious.
To jog the memory again, lest we fall asleep at the wheels. President Musharraf has made errors of judgment in his tussle with terrorism. India may have an important point to make here. Remember that as early as January 2002 he had declared Osama bin Laden dead. He was no doubt briefed by his aides. Everyone living in high tension zones is prone to making miscalculations. But President Musharraf has himself survived dangerously close assassination attempts by groups or individuals who must be training and recruiting their clones somewhere close by. It would be preposterous to insist the threat to his life lurks from somewhere outside his watch.
It is clear that both Prime Minister Singh and President Musharraf are facing serious threats to their political existence, threats that may not have their roots in terrorism at all. Both therefore need to sleep better. And if after that they can’t dream together, let them at least not inflict their nightmares on each other.
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What is Tony Blair’s stake in the widening Middle East crisis? A 50-year-old clipping from The Hindu of July 29, 1956, perhaps holds a clue. It says: “Britain has protested to Egypt against the nationalisation of the Suez Canal Company. A Foreign Office spokesman said in London that a copy of the strong British protest note despatched on July 27 to Cairo was also handed over to the Egyptian Ambassador to Britain, Mr Samy Abdul Fetouh. In the House of Commons, the British Prime Minister, Sir Anthony Eden, hinted, in reply to a question, that consideration was being given to the possibility of blocking Egypt’s sterling balances — funds held in London — but he stressed that no decision had yet been taken. The British note, protesting against the “arbitrary action which constitutes a serious threat to the freedom of navigation on a waterway of vital international importance,” says that the responsibility for the consequences of President Nasser’s action in announcing the nationalisation of the company must rest with the Egyptian Government. A message from Cairo said Egypt had rejected the protest notes of Britain and France.”
jawednaqvi@gmail.com

