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DAWN - the Internet Edition


July 12, 2006 Wednesday Jumadi-ul-Sani 15, 1427

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Editorial


Changing ‘pre-emption’?
Deadly Fokker crash
Doctors’ negligence
Widening the gulf of Mexico
 



Changing ‘pre-emption’?


CALL intervention by any name, it remains intervention. On Monday, the White House spokesman said “pre-emption” did not necessarily mean war. While the US still stood by its policy of pre-emption, it did not, he said, necessarily mean military action. The new definition of pre-emption flies in the face of the two wars America launched during the last five years and which are still continuing. The first of these wars was on Taliban-ruled Afghanistan. The provocation for the US was indeed great. The terrorist attacks in New York and Washington, masterminded by Osama bin Laden, shook the world. Besides causing the death of nearly 3,000 civilians, the attacks highlighted the danger to the world from terrorists and those who harboured them. At one stage, a war could have been averted if the Taliban had handed over Osama to America. However, what has really shocked the world is America’s post-Taliban policy, especially the behaviour of its troops. The vast majority of those flown to Guantanamo Bay had nothing to do with the Taliban or terrorism. Anyone caught on the streets of Kabul after it fell was flown to Guantanamo so as to be outside the jurisdiction of American law. They were denied PoW status and subjected to torture and humiliation and their Holy Book was desecrated. In addition, American military action in the ongoing anti-Taliban operations has led to horrendous human rights violations.

However, it is Iraq which epitomises the dangers inherent in pre-emption. There was no justification whatsoever for the war unleashed on Iraq. The UN inspectors had found no traces of weapons of mass destruction, and whatever else President Saddam Hussein might have been, he certainly was no friend of Osama’s. In fact, he frustrated Osama’s attempt to turn Iraq into a base of operation for Al Qaeda. The war was launched because it served America’s and Israel’s interest to destroy the only Arab country that Tel Aviv thought posed a threat to its security. Once in Iraq, America has found it difficult to get out, having suffered over 2,500 fatalities. As for Iraqi civilians dead, a rough estimate puts it at 100,000.

If a new definition of pre-emption is an indication of a possible change in US policy, then it deserves to be welcomed. In fact, the US attitude towards Iran and North Korea seems to indicate a softening of American policy and marks what one hopes would be a shift away from the unilateralism that has characterised the Bush administration’s foreign policy. But then let us not be overly optimistic, for a US National Security Strategy document, released in March, made it clear that America had not abjured the use of force to tame a perceived enemy. While emphasising that diplomacy should be given a chance, the document states that “under the long-standing principles of self-defence we do not rule out the use of force before attacks occur, even if uncertainty remains as to the time and place of the enemy’s attack.” Against this, one has the White House spokesman’s view that the strike-first strategy did not necessarily imply military action. Indeed, one hopes Washington has learnt its lessons from its experience in Afghanistan and Iraq. With only two years left to the Bush presidency, it remains to be seen how the next administration interprets pre-emption and whether that will mark an end to a policy that has only brought disaster to the countries targeted, without making the world any safer.



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Deadly Fokker crash


MONDAY’s plane crash near Multan has revived the debate over the airworthiness of the national carrier’s ageing fleet of Fokker F-27s. The PIA chairman has been quick to insist, no doubt out of the best of motives, that the fleet is fit and will not be grounded. Coming so soon after the disaster, the claim seems somewhat hasty and certainly ill-advised. At a time of tragedy such as this, what is required of senior officials is introspection and a firm resolve to rectify the factors that led to Monday’s crash. Also unseemly is the attempt by some to gain political mileage out of a tragedy. Mistakes may have been made in the past but the need now is to plan the future. There is no doubt that PIA’s Fokkers of 1960s vintage are well past their prime and should have been replaced with new aircraft at least a decade ago. Any lingering financial or other constraints in the way of speedy retirement must be overcome as soon as possible. All seven of the ATR-42 aircraft that are to replace the Fokkers are expected to join the PIA fleet by May 2007. This process must be expedited.

The larger issue at stake is overall aviation safety, not just Fokker airworthiness. There are reports of growing flight fatigue among pilots who are flying long hours without adequate rest. Not surprisingly, cases of ‘medical groundings’ are said to be on the rise. Air traffic control staff also complain of being overworked. Skilled technicians are reportedly leaving the national carrier in favour of better-paying foreign airlines — a trend that is bound to affect PIA’s maintenance standards. These are critical areas of operation with no room for oversight or laxity. Yet these are precisely the areas where PIA is in imminent danger of falling short even of the acceptable. Improvement is urgently called for in the working conditions of pilots, engineers, air traffic controllers and cabin and ground crews. To overcome pilot shortages, PIA also needs to look into raising the mandatory retirement age from 60 to 65 — a move that would be in line with the recommendations of the International Civil Aviation Organization and the practices of the European Joint Aviation Authority.



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Doctors’ negligence


WHILE suspicions of foul play are growing by the day in the case of the doctor arrested in Karachi on charges of removing a patient’s kidney instead of his gall bladder, there is no definitive evidence as yet to prove an ulterior motive behind his actions. Until fears of his involvement in the growing phenomenon of illegal kidney sales are substantiated, it would be more appropriate to treat it as a case of medical negligence at the private clinic where the surgery was performed. But regardless of whether the doctor’s actions were deliberate or a mistake, the fact is that the patient in question faces risks to his health in addition to footing heavy medical bills.

Unfortunately, this sort of medical negligence — if this indeed was the case — is prevalent across the country. Earlier this year, two cases were reported of a pair of forceps being left in a patient’s abdomen, resulting in the death of one woman. When such cases are highlighted by the media, the higher medical authorities do initiate an investigation into the actions of the doctors responsible, but the affair is hardly ever followed up. In fact, so far only a handful of doctors have been penalised for medical negligence, and most hospital administrations and doctors manage to evade responsibility. Emboldened by the absence of checks, they continue to indulge in medical malpractices. This is not only true of government hospitals, notorious for their poor level of health services, but also for private medical institutions that, unfortunately, are not being monitored, although the government has promised to introduce laws to regulate them. Unless this is done, it will be difficult to make erring doctors, or the institutions they work in, face legal action. In the absence of the latter, doctors will carry on flouting all norms of proper patient care.


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Widening the gulf of Mexico


By Mahir Ali

LAST week’s presidential election in Mexico had for months been touted as a crucial stage in the phenomenon whereby Latin America has democratically been drifting leftwards during the past decade. The accuracy of that assessment has been questioned by those who see Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador as more of a rhetorical radical than a visionary.

That probably isn’t an entirely unfair evaluation of the Democratic Revolution Party (PRD) candidate, who was popular as mayor of Mexico City not least because he, unlike previous holders of the post, spurned many of the privileges that came with the office. During this year’s election campaign, he had vowed that, if elected, he would turn the elaborate Los Pinos presidential compound into a national park.

That seems like an admirable gesture, but gestures can arouse suspicions if they come across as a substitute for policies. This is not to suggest that Lopez Obrador’s platform was a policy-free zone. Its mainstay was a huge public works programme deliberately reminiscent of Franklin D. Roosevelt’s New Deal, to be funded by slashing the salaries of bureaucrats and other public office-holders, including the president.

That, again, sounds good on the face of it. A closer look at the numbers, however, reveals that the figures don’t add up: the savings from the salary cuts, even if the latter could be implemented without sparking a bureaucratic rebellion, would be only a fraction of what would be required to fund the projects Lopez Oprador evidently had in mind.

He also said he was planning to challenge aspects of the North American Free Trade Agreement (Nafta), particularly its provisions on agricultural subsidies, which heavily disadvantage Mexican farmers vis-a-vis their counterparts in the United States. As Greg Grandin, a professor of history at New York University, put it last week in a Washington Post article, “Before Nafta, Mexico was self-sufficient in corn and bean production. Today, one out of three Mexican tortillas is made with cheap corn meal from the United States.” As a result, since the introduction of Nafta, the number of Mexicans making their living off the land has diminished by three million, chiefly because “Mexican farmers simply can’t compete with capital-intensive US agribusiness, which continues to enjoy generous government subsidies.” What’s more, Grandin points out, there’s worse to come: “In 2008, the agreement’s final provision is set to go into effect, eliminating the last tariffs on US corn and beans and ending the subsidies Mexico gives to its peasant farmers, leaving untouched the far larger subsidies doles out to its own agricultural sector.”

These are precisely the sorts of factors that explain why the US-proposed Free Trade Area of the Americas has encountered so much resistance across Latin America. Mexico, by virtue of its geographical position, had the dubious privilege of being incorporated in the so-called free-trade scheme back in 1994, at a time when it was still ruled by the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI), which had monopolised power since 1929, invariably employing fraudulent means to stave off rivals after shedding its radical pretensions back in the 1940s.

Even in 1994, it was obvious to some Mexicans that getting into bed with the US would entail a great deal of unnecessary pain: the Zapatista rebellion in Chiapas province, which borrowed its name from the early 20th century peasant revolutionary Emiliano Zapata, coincided with the inauguration of Nafta. The Zapatistas represented some of the poorest agricultural workers in a country where 40 per cent of the population lives beneath the poverty line. The movement’s ski-masked spokesman was an articulate and romantic figure, Subcomandante Marcos.

On January 1 this year, exactly 12 years after the Chiapas uprising, Marcos, having chosen to pursue Zapatista goals through purely political means, embarked on a nationwide tour to promote the movement’s ideas. He evidently reserved much of his scorn for Lopez Obrador, whom he described as a traitor who would “give it to all of us” if he won on July 2. On election day last week, he marched down Mexico City’s Reforma Avenue with thousands of supporters, denouncing all the political parties.

The extent to which the Zapatistas and other radical left-wing groups might have determined last week’s result by seeking an electoral boycott is impossible to pinpoint, of course, but given that Lopez Obrador lost the contest by less than 250,000 votes out of 41 million, it is quite possible that even marginal influences proved crucial. The candidate — who was, rightly or wrongly, perceived by the majority of Mexico’s poor as a vehicle for their possible salvation — hasn’t blamed his defeat on the far left: he believes he was deprived of victory by the machinations of the ruling National Action Party (PAN), whose candidate, Felipe Calderon, has provisionally been declared the president-elect.

In a legal complaint filed with the election commission, Lopez Obrador has accused the right-wing PAN — which rose to prominence six years ago when its candidate Vicente Fox, a former Coca-Cola executive, ended the PRI’s monopoly on executive power — of conduct ranging from the use of state funds in the campaign (which is illegal under Mexican law) to the manipulation of computerised vote tallies.

There is certainly some evidence that Lopez Obrador’s accusations aren’t entirely gratuitous: there are documented cases of substantial numbers of votes being voided or remaining uncounted in certain polling stations.

Observers from the European Union gave the election a tick of approval, but such overseers generally tend to discount relatively minor instances of possible misconduct. However, in instances where the result is so tight — Calderon and Lopez Obrador are separated by 0.6 per cent of the vote — every ballot counts. Therefore the latter’s demand for a thorough manual recount isn’t unreasonable.

However, under Mexican law, this is apparently illegal: ballots from only a limited number of polling stations can be subjected to manual scrutiny. It remains to be seen how seriously the election commission will take Lopez Obrador’s complaint, even though large numbers of Mexicans — his protest rally in Mexico City last Saturday attracted 100,000, many of whom were less than thrilled when the candidate insisted on peaceful conduct — are clearly disappointed by the electoral outcome.

Of course, large-scale disappointment isn’t unusual in the wake of closely contested elections. However, charges of electoral fraud have a particular resonance in Mexico, given its long history of political corruption. And while it remains to be conclusively determined whether the PAN is following the PRI’s pattern, there can be little question that a misleading scare campaign lay at the heart of its election propaganda.

Lopez Obrador was comfortably ahead of Calderon in opinion polls until the PAN sought to insinuate that the PRD leader was a Hugo Chavez clone. The business community — wary of any party that pledges to work “for the good of all, but first the poor” — quickly jumped on the bandwagon with its own television ads warning implicitly of the dangers that would lie ahead with a Chavez-like leader at the helm. Some of the PAN’s TV spots juxtaposed Chavez’s (fairly accurate) denunciations of Fox as a US lackey with comparable quotes from Lopez Obrador.

The background to this line of attack consists, of course, of an international anti-Chavez campaign that seeks to paint the Venezuelan president as a borderline lunatic with an authoritarian streak who is bent upon defying the ways of the world. That characterisation is partly valid: Chavez is indeed determined to contribute towards a different world, primarily because the one we are confronted with leaves a great deal to be desired in terms of disparities of wealth and power. He questions and defies Washington’s imperialist tendencies at every opportunity.

What’s more, much to the despair of the comprador bourgeoisie in Venezuela, his domestic policies have begun to make an appreciable difference to the lives of the poor, large numbers of whom have gained access for the first time to education and health care.

He supplies oil to Cuba in exchange for doctors, and sells the precious commodity at concessional rates to Caribbean nations, as well as to impoverished sections of the population within the US.

Although it is unlikely Lopez Obrador would have made a particularly radical president, it is nonetheless intriguing to note that the US was seemingly remarkably complacent about the prospect, apart from pointing out that Nafta provisions on subsidies were non-negotiable. One is reminded of the famous instance from the Sherlock Holmes story Silver Blaze, in which the detective alerts his companion to “the curious incident of the dog in the night-time”. When Dr Watson points out that the dog did nothing in the night-time, the detective responds: “That was the curious incident.”

There are two possible explanations for Washington’s complacency: either it had some sort of an assurance that Lopez Obrador’s radical rhetoric would not translate into seriously reformist policies, or it knew his electoral bid would be unsuccessful. Take your pick.

Email: mahirali1@gmail.com


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