The United States, unlike the empires of old Europe, has always preferred to exercise its hegemony indirectly. It has relied on local relays - uniformed despots, corrupt oligarchs, pliant politicians, obedient monarchs - rather than lengthy occupations.
It was only when rebellions from below threatened to disrupt this order that the marines were dispatched and wars fought. During the Cold War, money was supplied indiscriminately to all anti-communist forces (including the current leadership of Al Qaeda); the 21st-century recipients are more carefully targeted.
The aim is slowly to replace the traditional elites in the old satrapies with a new breed of neo-liberal politicians who have been trained and educated in the US. This is the primary function of the US money allocated to "democracy promotion". Loyalty can be purchased from politicians, parties and trade unions. And the result, it is hoped, is to create a new layer of janissary politicians who serve Washington.
This most recent variant of "democracy promotion" has now been applied in Afghanistan and Iraq, and it will hit Haiti (another occupied country) in November. Create a new elite, give it funds and weaponry to build a new army and let them make the country safe for the corporations.
The 2004 Afghan elections, even according to some pro-US commentators, were a farce, and the much vaunted 73 per cent turnout was a fraud. In Iraq, the western media were celebrating a 60 per cent turnout within minutes of the polls closing, despite the fact that Iraq lacks a complete register of voters, let alone a network of computerized polling stations. The official figure, when it comes, is likely to be revised downwards (according to Debka, a pro-US Israeli website, turnout was closer to 40 per cent).
The "high" turnout was widely interpreted as a rejection of the Iraqi resistance. But was it? Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani's many followers voted to please him, but if he is unable to deliver peace and an end to the occupation, they too might defect.
The only force in Iraq the occupiers can rely on are the Kurdish tribes. The Kurdish 36th command battalion fought alongside the US in Fallujah, but the tribal chiefs want some form of independence, and some oil. If Turkey, loyal Nato ally and EU aspirant, vetoes any such possibility, then the Kurds too might accept money from elsewhere. The battle for Iraq is far from over. It has merely entered a new stage.
Despite strong disagreements on boycotting the elections, the majority of Iraqis will not willingly hand over their oil or their country to the West. Politicians who try to force this through will lose all support and become totally dependent on the foreign armies in their country.
The popular resistance will continue. Many in the West find it increasingly difficult to support this resistance. The arguments for and against it are old ones. In 1885, the English socialist William Morris celebrated the defeat of General Gordon by the Mahdi: "Khartoum fallen - into the hands of the people it belongs to". Morris argued that the duty of English internationalists was to support all those being oppressed by the British empire despite disagreements with nationalism or fanaticism.
The triumphalist chorus of the western media reflects a single fact: the Iraqi elections were designed not so much to preserve the unity of Iraq but to re-establish the unity of the West. After Bush's re-election the French and Germans were looking for a bridge back to Washington. Will their citizens accept the propaganda that sees the illegitimate election (the Carter Centre, which monitors elections worldwide, refused to send observers) as justifying the occupation?
The occupation involved a military and economic invasion as envisaged by Hayek, the father of neo-liberalism, who pioneered the notion of lightning air strikes against Iran in 1979 and Argentina in 1982. The re-colonization of Iraq would have greatly pleased him. Politicians masking their true aims with weasel words about "humanity" would have irritated him.
What of the media, the propaganda pillar of the new order? In Control Room, a Canadian documentary on al-Jazeera, one of the more disgusting images is that of embedded western journalists whooping with joy at the capture of Baghdad. The coverage of "elections" in Afghanistan and Iraq has been little more than empty spin. This symbiosis of neo-liberal politics and a neo-liberal media helps reinforce the collective memory loss from which the West suffers today.
Carl Schmitt, a theorist of the Third Reich, developed the view that politics is encompassed by the essential categories of "friend" and "enemy". After the Second World War, Schmitt's writings were adapted to the needs of the US and are now the bedrock of neocon thinking. The message is straightforward: if your country does not serve our needs it is an enemy state. It will be occupied, its leaders removed and pliant satraps placed on the throne.
But when troops withdraw, satrapies often crumble. Occupation, rebellion, withdrawal, occupation, self-emancipation is a pattern in world history. At the Nuremberg trials, Ribbentrop, the German foreign minister, was charged for providing the justification for Hitler's pre-emptive strike against Norway. Colin Powell, Condoleezza Rice, Jack Straw in a dock of the future? Unlikely, but desirable. - Dawn/Guardian Service
High cost of terrorism
By Shah Zaman Khan
Terrorism and militancy did exist in one form or the other in some parts of the world even in the distant past, but it became commonplace in the aftermath of 9/11. The danger that it has been posing to global peace and harmony is enormous.
We hear more often than not the phrases, such as "global war against terrorism". It proves that the menace is multi-faceted, multi-dimensional and not restricted to a particular country or nation. The scourge, its magnitude and severity is being witnessed in many parts of the world, especially in the Muslim countries such as Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Afghanistan and Turkey. These countries are direct victims of most sophisticated acts of terrorism sponsored by extremist groups.
The brutal acts of terrorists have aroused serious concerns not only in these states but also all over the civilized world. Even the United States and the western countries, despite their superiority in technology, are not much safe from this menace.
Extremist outfits and networks of these savage acts are unfortunately found in the Muslim states. It is also a reality that in their so-called 'holy war against infidels' the majority of the terrorists as well as victims are no other than Muslims. So, it can be safely assumed that the militancy and terrorism unleashed by the extremist groups in the name of religion is more of self-hurting character than doing any harm to the perceived infidels.
The 'infidels' are more secure. They have fortified themselves against these threats with plenty of resources, skill, and military strength at their disposal. The truth is they are not only capable of defending themselves, but are also well entrenched to defeat and frustrate the acts of terrorism in an offensive way. Afghanistan is a case in point.
But what about frail and defenceless Muslim societies? They can neither defend themselves nor make any offensive, their loud rhetoric and persistent claims notwithstanding. So, the threat is directed more to the Muslim societies and states than the perceived foes of Islam and the Muslims.
The 'infidels' are comparatively safer. But are the Muslims too safe and secure? It is a soul-searching question, especially for the intelligentsia of the Muslim world. If we look at its magnitude and complexity besides the underlying factors and cobweb of hidden causes and reason of the threat posed by terrorism and militancy, we come to the conclusion that only gun power and hardware cannot serve as an ultimate means in the hands of man to rid mankind of the underlying dangers posed by the terrorists and militants.
There is no ideology involved in what the merchants of death and destruction are expounding and executing with so much vanity and pride. In fact, there is no clash between various groups of human beings wherever they live. If there is any such thing, it is the handiwork of those having false belief, or in other words, an impaired understanding of what they are doing. There are also hidden and in many cases material considerations involved in this fictional crusade.
No sane Muslim can buy the argument the masterminds or ideologues of terror and barbarity are advancing to justify wholesale carnage of innocent people in the name of a confused and utopian thought. Bleeding and pitting a man against another man is a severely punishable crime as prescribed in and strictly prohibited in all the faiths and creeds.
Unfortunately, today's Muslim world where a huge majority of people are followers of divine belief in peaceful co-existence, practise finest human values and believe in dignity of existence in this God's beautifully tailored and magically resplendent world, a few groups and individuals are bent upon making it a hell. They preach ideology of hatred and revenge. They are bringing ignominy and a bad name to the divine religion of Islam, its universal appeal of love and amity and more so to their own polity and societies.
The damage they are incurring on the good name of Islam is too high and no amount of protest or rational logic emanating even from within the Muslim societies can retrieve the loss. It will be too late if the serious thinking sections, intelligentsia and opinion making circles did not realize their responsibility of salvaging their society from vicious onslaughts of terrorists.
However, it is heartening that, of late, such a thinking is visible among the intellectuals and they are making efforts to portray a correct and true picture of their faith and its followers in the eyes of the non-Muslims at the intellectual level. It is imperative for them not to let society become a permanent hostage to deranged philosophy and self-destructive deeds of a handful of fanatics.
The glimpses of such thinking and aspirations were evident at a seminar jointly recently organized at Peshawar by the media cell of Fata secretariat and the international relations department of University of Peshawar. There were informative presentations, highly educative and constructive papers by prominent scholars and academics like Prof Qibla Aya, Dr Mohammad Farooq, Ross Masud Hussain, Dr Adnan Sarwar Khan and Col (retired) Yahya Effendi on "Phenomenon of terrorism: its implications for Pakistan and the Muslim World".
Almost all scholars were unanimous in their views that terrorism and its perpetrators were hurting more their fellow Muslims, their own compatriots than anybody else and that concerted endeavours should be made for a proper interaction with the scholars, media, academics and opinion makers in the West to dispel the wrong but deep rooted misconceptions about the religion of Islam and the Muslims.
There was special emphasis on inter-faith contacts between Muslim and Christian societies of the West for a better understanding of each other which, in the view of the scholars, would go a long way in making this universe a peaceful and prosperous place free from terror, religious feud, communal or caste and creed prejudices. They thought that all such efforts would benefit Muslims more than non-Muslims in today's world in which no nation or state could live in isolation or self-imposed seclusion.
The NWFP Governor, Lt Gen (Retd) Syed Iftikhar Hussain Shah, who spoke in a broader way on various aspects of the military action against the terrorists and foreign militants in the tribal areas, enlightened the audience with useful information during the question-answer session.
One hopes that the media and educational institutions would take a leaf from the success of this seminar and make all out efforts to hold seminars and academic discussions on the scourge of terrorism in order to enlighten the common people on this important issue which has almost affected the whole world today. With little, but sincere efforts of our religious scholars, university teachers, academia and the media many of those who have gone astray because of lack of understanding can be reformed and converted into positive thinking and constructive human beings.
The writer is director-general, FATA.
Making the same mistakes in Iran
By David Kay
One year ago I told the US Senate Armed Services Committee that I had concluded "we were almost all wrong" at the time of the Iraq war about that country's activities with regard to weapons of mass destruction - and never more wrong than in the assessment that Iraq had a resurgent programme on the verge of producing nuclear weapons.
I testified about what I saw as the major reasons we got it so wrong, and I urged the establishment of an independent commission to examine this failure and begin the long-overdue process of adjusting our intelligence capabilities to the new national security environment we face. It is an environment dominated by too-easy access to weapons of mass destruction capabilities and to the means of concealing such capabilities from international inspection and national intelligence agencies.
A year later we are still awaiting the independent commission's report. The discussion of intelligence reform has focused on reordering and adding structure on top of an eroded intelligence foundation.
There is an eerie similarity to the events preceding the Iraq war. The International Atomic Energy Agency has announced that while Iran now admits having concealed for 18 years nuclear activities that should have been reported to the IAEA, it has found no evidence of a nuclear weapons programme. Iran says it is now cooperating fully with international inspections, and it denies having anything but a peaceful nuclear energy programme.
Vice-President Cheney is giving interviews and speeches that paint a stark picture of a soon-to-be-nuclear-armed Iran and declaring that this is something the Bush administration will not tolerate. Iranian exiles are providing the press and governments with a steady stream of new "evidence" concerning Iran's nuclear weapons activities.
Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice has warned that Iran will not be allowed to use the cover of civilian nuclear power to acquire nuclear weapons, but says an attack on Iran is "not on the agenda at this point." US allies, while saying they share the concern over Iran's nuclear ambitions, remain determined to pursue diplomacy and say they cannot conceive of any circumstance that would lead them to use military force.
And the press is beginning to uncover U.S. moves that seem designed to lay the basis for military action against Iran.Now is the time to pause and recall what went wrong with the assessment of Iraq's WMD programme and try to avoid repeating those mistakes in Iran. Following steps are essential.
First, accept the fact that the past cannot be undone. Iran has, by its own admission, engaged for at least 18 years in clandestine nuclear activities that now give it the basis, if it chooses, to pursue nuclear weapons. That knowledge cannot be eliminated, so it is nonsense to talk about eliminating Iran's nuclear capabilities short of war and occupation.
The goal, and one that is reachable, is to craft a set of tools and transparency measures that so tie Iran's nuclear activities to the larger world of peaceful nuclear activities that any attempt to push ahead on the weapons front would be detectable and very disruptive for Iran.
Second, acknowledge that dissidents and exiles have their own agenda and that before being accepted as truth any "evidence" they might supply concerning Iran's nuclear programme must be tested and confirmed by other sources.-Dawn/Washington Post Service
The writer was the first leader of the Iraq Survey Group searching for weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. He resigned a year ago.
A costly & harmful project
By Roedad Khan
The Margallah Hill, a gift of nature and an irreplaceable asset, is threatened by a new danger - a road tunnel through the hills to link Haripur to Islamabad. This strange project, floated by some powerful real estate agents, apart from being a menace to the ecology and environment of the region, raises many other questions which need answers. But let me first provide some background information for the benefit of readers.
Unfortunately, although the entire area was declared a National Park by the federal government in 1980, it has been disfigured, decimated and defiled as a result of activities which are prejudicial to its preservation, environmentally hazardous and incompatible with the objectives of a national park. A cement factory was established in 1984 in the green area. Its requirement of raw materials - lime stone - is quarried in the National Park. Consequently, the park's features, its rock, soil, fauna and flora are being destroyed. Besides, the factory is creating serious pollution.
Hundreds of stone-crushers were installed in some of the most beautiful valleys in the National Park and rock-mining allowed. This has totally destroyed the landscape, the natural geographical formations, archaeological features and native plants. An industrial atmosphere has been created in an otherwise pristine environment by the noise of motors and machinery, dynamite-blasting, heavy truck traffic, workers' camps and polluted streams.
Even Rawal Lake, a part of the National Park and the main source of drinking water for Rawalpindi, has not been spared and is threatened by pollution caused by human habitations in the catchment area and all around the lake.
The Margallah Hill Society has been campaigning, in the teeth of opposition from powerful political elements and vested interests against this deliberate degradation and decimation of the environment of the National Park. At this writer's request, Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif issued a comprehensive Directive on preservation of the Margallah Hill National Park. "I have received", the directive reads, "disturbing reports that the Margallah Hill National Park has been exposed to activities prejudicial to its preservation and are environmentally hazardous for Islamabad".
The directive remains unimplemented. In desperation, I filed a writ petition in the High Court in the hope that activities incompatible with the objectives of the Park would be declared illegal. Nothing happened. The writ petition was dismissed. Who wants to antagonize the rich and the powerful in this country? The wonder is how we achieved some success, however limited, in the teeth of opposition from a powerful mafia. We succeeded in stopping quarrying in Shahdarra, Kalinjar, Sinyari and Shah Allah Ditta valleys.
The Capital Development Authority was set up to develop the city of Islamabad and the rural environs. Its responsibilities and authority are strictly limited to the area demarcated for the federal territory and to specified functions. It never had the resources or the authority to develop transport links between the capital and other parts of the country. The Lahore-Islamabad motorway is part of the National Highway network, built and managed by the Highway Authority of the federal government.
The Islamabad-Murree road was widened and improved by the Punjab government. How can suddenly and inexplicably the CDA decide that development of road links with adjoining areas in the NWFP is its responsibility? The tunnel project is clearly beyond its charter and a deviation from its proper tasks.
Press reports say that, on the directive of President Musharraf, technical details are being worked out and that construction will begin shortly. The country has a long established system under which procedures are laid down for appraisal of projects and which specify bodies empowered to sanction major projects. The system is intended to ensure that optimum use is made of public funds.
The tunnel project does not appear to have been cleared with the Planning Commission or sanctioned by ECNEC or approved by any higher authority, including the environment division and the environment protection agency. What emergency or dire necessity justifies CDA appropriating to itself powers that vest in higher inter-governmental bodies?
Even for a small project, and much more so for a project likely to cost billions of rupees, it is essential to work out and compare the cost and benefits. Clearly, this has not been done in this case. The cost will certainly be in billions of rupees.
What will be the benefits? It is obvious that the benefits to the ordinary residents of Islamabad will be infinitesimal. Of course, real estate agents and landowners along the route and at the Haripur end of the tunnel will reap huge windfall gains if open season is declared for construction in the Margallah Wildlife Reserve and other adjoining areas. It may be noted that the proposed tunnel will not be opening a new area since Haripur is already connected by good roads to Islamabad via the Nicholson Monument.
There will be some savings in time and money for some residents of Haripur who find the new route shorter. As traffic flows have not been worked out, it is not possible to specify exactly the size of benefits. However, even a superficial scrutiny shows that the disparity between the high cost and meagre benefits will be enormous.
Who will finance the project and meet the capital and recurring costs. At present, the recurring cost of managing Islamabad city is being largely met from a tax on property holders. The tax rates are the highest in the country but this is acceptable as the municipal services provided in Islamabad are better than elsewhere. There will be a substantial increase in tax rates if CDA throws even part of the burden of managing the tunnel on the local taxpayers. If the net cost of the tunnel is met by the federal budget or, in other words, by the taxpayer, should not the exact burden be disclosed out for public information.
Even if the project is justified as contributing to the welfare of a backward area, the question is whether this is the best use of public funds. Haripur has a population of about 6,92,000. This is 3.9 per cent of the population of the NWFP. While development indicators show that Haripur is better off than most districts of the NWFP, it is still a poor area with vast unmet needs. Surely, the people of Haripur will benefit more from expansion of social services and development of agriculture, industry and power availability, benefiting the public at large more than an additional road link with Islamabad.
Given the dangerous implications for the ecology and environment of the region and the enormous disparity between costs and benefits, the undertaking of the project borders on lunacy. Who will keep this insanity at bay?