It's already proving to be a tough New Year for the soon-to-be 25 nation European Union. Having returned to work only a week or so ago after the Christmas break, EU leaders have lost no time in resuming last year's fierce battles over power, prestige and influence in the new Europe.
Top of the EU agenda: clinching a key constitutional deal allowing for more efficient decision-making in an expanded union. But only days into 2004, the bloc has also become embroiled in a bitter dispute over the future of the eurozone stability pact and the state of the bloc's battered finances.
Meanwhile, a spate of booby-trapped letters sent to the European Commission and several members of the European Parliament at the start of the year has added to the sense of confusion at the EU's headquarters in Brussels.
EU leaders kick-started the New Year just like they ended the old one: still at odds over power-sharing in an enlarged union which as of May 1 this year will include an additional 10, mostly ex-communist, member states.
Efforts to forge a new EU treaty collapsed mid-December amid a row over voting rights in the enlarged bloc. Spain and Poland refused to surrender the generous voting concessions secured at a summit in Nice three years ago but EU giants Germany and France warned they would veto the new constitution unless Madrid and Warsaw accepted a downgrading of their voting status.
Having failed to meet their self-imposed end-2003 deadline to finalize the new treaty, EU leaders are now hoping to secure agreement by the end of this year.
But with no new guiding charter, life in an expanded union looks set to be very confusing. Officials warn of a decision- making gridlock, more feuding among small and big states and the splintering of the EU into so-called "core groups."
The emergence of a two-speed Europe is "almost inevitable", European Commission President Romano Prodi has warned. Multi-track Europe is also favoured by French President Jacques Chirac and German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder who have long talked of "pioneer groups" of countries, forging ahead in different policy areas without waiting for laggards to join them.
But many other countries, fearing being left in Europe's slow lane, are firmly against the idea. Irish Prime Minister Bertie Ahern - whose country took over the EU presidency from Italy on January 1 - has warned that he will continue to oppose a two-tier EU. Smaller countries, like Ireland would be left behind under such a development and experience "only disadvantages," Ahern cautioned.
Securing agreement on a new constitution, however, is not the only cloud on the EU's horizon. The European Commission has rubbed salt into another festering EU wound by warning of legal action against the bloc's finance ministers for allowing France and Germany to flout eurozone financial rules.
"The possibility to go to the Court of Justice would be a useful option," European Monetary Affairs Commissioner Pedro Solbes has threatened, adding that in a "community of law, procedures have to be respected."
Officials say a commission decision on whether or not to launch a lawsuit against EU governments is expected on Tuesday (Jan 13), after the EU executive carefully examines the complicated legal and political repercussions of the move.
Many in the commission fear a frontal confrontation with heavyweights Germany and France, saying this is definitely a battle that the EU executive cannot win. But EU lawyers have warned that the commission will lose all credibility if it fails to act as effective guardian of the bloc's rules.
Germany and France escaped eurozone sanctions against their budget deficits on Nov 25, 2003, after the bloc's finance ministers refused to follow commission demands for punitive action against both countries.
Eurozone rules call for commission action - including the imposition of fines - against countries which run up excessive budget deficits of more than 3 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP)) for three successive years. This is the case for both France and Germany.
The commission is also geared up to battle Berlin and Paris - as well as Britain, Sweden, Austria and the Netherlands, over the bloc's multi-billion euro spending plans.
Richer EU nations, which pay more into the common union budget than they get back, startled many of their partners last year by insisting that the bloc's finances must be frozen at current levels despite expansion.
The commission has warned that a larger EU budget is needed to forge stronger policies in areas such as common defence and immigration. But Germany is adamant that the union's budget should be subject to the same "painful consolidation" as individual European countries.
Prodi and the commission are not in a strong position to do battle with EU governments, however. With the current EU executive set to be replaced by a new set of commissioners early next year, most of the focus mid-year will switch to speculation over the new men and women who will be taking the decisions in Brussels.
A long wait
By Maheen A. Rashdi
About two weeks ago the city of lights danced merrily under the vigilant eye of the unprecedented mass of 'nafri' let loose in Karachi. In covert venues that night, the privileged boogied to It's my life and clamoured for Murder on the dance floor while the condemned tossed and turned on hard floors chasing away the demons of poverty haunting their sleep for yet another night.
Ironically, the foggy morning greeted the same partying Karachiites with the headline, '143 committed suicide in Karachi in 2003' (due to joblessness), but the page was lazily flipped to the Business Section.
In Karachi alone, many millions were spent on charity balls to welcome the new date as digits changed from '03 to '04, even as somewhere in anguish a mother was trying to lull an infant to sleep desperately crying out for sustenance of some kind.
Justice is strange. Most of these institutions for the underprivileged are now receiving more money than they need and their funds are running in surplus, whereas many of the underprivileged are continuing to struggle for one proper meal a day.
More than a month ago, Prime Minister Jamali constituted a task force responsible for poverty alleviation and employment generation in Pakistan. The force is headed by the Minister for Privatization, Abdul Hafeez Sheikh. The force was 'directed' to submit its report to the PM within a month. The month is up and no miraculous solution is forthcoming.
When the reins of power were rearranged in October 1999, the first of this regime's task force came into existence, which was responsible for preparing-long term and short-term economic revival strategies. It is supposed that the strategies were to include poverty alleviation. A year after, the various options on the economic agenda were still being mulled over.
Since then, there have been many task forces to 'look into' one thing or the other while the damned continued to resort to brutal ends. For them, hanging from the ceiling fan or torching themselves along with their tiny innocents, is a much 'surer' option of ending the state of poverty rather than waiting for 'a Force' to act in their favour.
The below-the-poverty line population figure had reached 38.1 per cent and unemployment has risen to 40 per cent from 29 in Nawaz Sharif's time. The figures refer to those, who barely get a single meal a day.
A year ago, when the worthy head of this present task force - Mr Abdul Hafeez Sheikh - held the portfolio of Sindh minister for finance, planning and development, he, in one of the many addresses in a workshop, said: "There is need for undertaking concerted efforts to eradicate poverty." He had pointed out that the income of one-third of the population was less than a dollar a day and the situation in the province of Sindh was the worst. Some vows of changing it all soon were also included in between these statistics.
That was over a year ago. Now, four years after the Provisional Order and the economic agenda and a few task forces later, we are still awaiting yet another task force's suggestion. There already is a ministry for finance and economic affairs, isn't there? Should it to be understood that poverty alleviation is beyond the scope of its work/intellect? And why, pray, another force? Should we presume that the earlier forces and those comprising it were inadequate in their professional capacities? Are the newer ones more dynamic? Interestingly, even before the first meeting, the new task force members were already divided on the validity of the poverty related statistics regarding the different provinces forwarded by the ministry.
Money easily flows when it is needed and where it is needed. From iftar parties to state banquets, there is enough to go around for official use when need be. In the last year, the salary of over 170 senators and other government servants was increased (presumably squeezed out from some other budget and aided by us taxpayers!] while the poverty line became more dismal.
Would someone please explain the mathematics in this? With wheat growers having their own issues, the Sindh Circle of the Bread Association has now increased the price of bread in Sindh. A two-rupee increase is akin to a king's ransom for a labourer who subsists on 50 or even 100 rupees a day and has six or more members.
Wastage of farm products due to ad-hoc agriculture policies and hoarding of government regulated food stocks continues. Water shortages and transportation levies are also issues which effect consumer prices of essential food items.
To make any programme truly valid, it would have been creditable had the federal government, using its power (being in majority, we are presuming it does have some), had directed the provincial governments to pass an immediate economic reform bill in their respective assemblies to increase the buying power of the common man by 'fast-action' short-term policies.
In the meantime, Karachi continues as the biggest loser considering the high ratio of the labour class and the urban poor battling in a city with highly inflated standards of living.
Though the PM has announced that Sindh would get its due share of the federal revenue to address poverty alleviation, it remains to be seen how the funds are divided and which budget holder gets what. And while we await the new task force's 'plan', somewhere, a miserable father herds his family of six children or more in a crumbling shack.
Looking into their pathetic faces and probably begging forgiveness from the Almighty, he lights a match to the last vestiges of the kerosene he has. That kerosene, which was to be used in the stove for cooking food. But there was no food to cook, because the task force was formed just some days ago.
Too late to remember
By Abbas Jalbani
Kawish reports that the Punjab government has launched a study in ways to release the Indus water into the Ravi, Sutlej and Beas rivers. The province has also demanded that it should be provided with 50 million acre feet water for the areas affected by the surrender of its rivers to India.
Kawish argues that the handing over of the rivers took place more than half a century ago, but Punjab had not raised the issue until now. The timing suggests that it is aimed at countering the demand of Sindh for the allocation of 10 MAF water to areas downstream Kotri.
The latter issue was created last decade when the Indus began to face an acute shortage of water in Sindh. Since then, Sindh has been insisting that the volume of water for downstream Kotri should be determined to ensure regular supplies to parts of lower Sindh and the Indus Delta.
The paper believes that the mixing of two issues suggests that Punjab has evolved a strategy to obstruct a decision on water releases below Kotri. According to the strategy, after studies on the water needs for downstream Kotri and the Punjab areas are completed, it will be demanded that a fresh study on water availability in the Indus river system should be carried out.
This will reveal that if 60 MAF more water is given to the two provinces, regular water supply will be badly affected. Then, Punjab might say that it is ready to withdraw from the demand of 50 MAF additional water provided that Sindh also abandons its insistence on the water discharge downstream Kotri.
Awami Awaz writes that like every year, this time also the annual canal closure period has led to an acute shortage of water in Hyderabad, Sukkur, Khairpur and other cities and towns of Sindh, which depend upon water from the Indus and its canals. Due to the closure of the Akram Wah, which was reopened on Sunday, around 600,000 residents of Hyderabad had faced a water crisis. The situation is more serious in Sukkur where the river has so little water that it has to be piped to the main pumping station.
As this situation recurs every year in January, the daily says, the civic agencies of the cities should make earlier arrangements for storing water to ensure that canal closures do not affect the regular supply.
Ibrat says that district public safety commissions, a vital part of the devolution of power plan, have been formed to check police atrocities against innocent people. However, it deplores that the commissions have not been given powers to take any action against the police. Realizing this, a recent meeting of the chairmen of the DPSCs has demanded that the commissions should be awarded legal status and given funds to make them operational.
Hilal-i-Pakistan points out that press reports from different parts of Sindh reveal that hepatitis-B has been rapidly spreading in the rural areas. The poor villagers neither have the money for costly vaccines nor awareness about the disease.
It suggests that the price of vaccine should be reduced, mobile teams be sent to the affected areas to vaccinate the people, and a media campaign be launched to create awareness.