It is heartening to see that the dastardly incidents of terrorism in Rawalpindi did not deter any of the participants from attending the Saarc summit. The peace process, which has been eagerly pursued, since April 2003, by the two governments and major segments of societies, has created a congenial atmosphere.
The year 2004 is being heralded on a positive note with this summit. It is hoped that both sides would exhibit magnanimity and sagacity to avail this opportunity to have meaningful dialogues in order to resolve all issues including Kashmir.
How should the Kashmir issue be resolved? Several formulas have been proposed, but none has so far been adopted for resolving this most long drawn-out complex issue. If the UN is not inclined to implement its own resolutions on Kashmir, if Chenab Formula is not acceptable to India, if the Livingston's proposals are not workable and if the stated position of the two countries on Kashmir are not acceptable to each other, then the deadlock will continue. We have already suffered disastrous consequences because of this dispute and cannot afford to allow the status quo to prevail endlessly.
"Pakistan comes first", has been the present rulers' favourite slogan, and rightly so. However, this paramount stance should be reflected in the policies of the present government including foreign policy and our relations with India. But when it comes to India, our establishment insists on "Kashmir First". This creates a contradiction in terms and proves to be counter-productive. By insisting on "Kashmir First" no breakthrough could be made in the negotiations between the two countries at Agra in 2001 or thereafter.
India and Pakistan agree that the Kashmir dispute can only be resolved by showing flexibility on the pronounced stand of the two countries and by holding sincere and meaningful dialogue. All agree that war is not the answer. Over the past fifty-five years, the three wars with India and two battles of Siachen in 1987 and Kargil in 1999 could not help resolve the issue. It only resulted in losing half of our country with disastrous consequences both economically, politically and in virtually all other facets.
Equally counter-productive and disastrous is the strategy, since the era of Gen. Zia, of the so-called Jihad on the pretext of keeping the Kashmir issue alive and leaving India bleeding. The activities of the Jihadis in the past two decades have only resulted in further loss of life, places of worship and properties of the Kashmiris with the proliferation of the jihadis, religious militancy and fanaticism in Pakistan.
The so-called jihad could not force India to budge an inch or motivate any country, including our closest allies, to pressure India to resolve the issue peacefully. Nor was the Indian economy or its image damaged in any significant manner. On the contrary, Pakistan was on the verge of being declared a "terrorist state", our economy continued to suffer and religious extremism spread like a plague in Pakistan and brutalized our society.
The Kashmiri leaders, including All Parties Hurriyat Conference, have repeatedly declared that the struggle for liberation of Kashmir is not religious but political. Hence, there was no justification for declaring this struggle as "jihad".
On the other hand the comity of nations including members of the OIC or even the most hitherto dependable states are not prepared to offer more than lip-service for the implementation of the UN resolutions on Kashmir. The UN Secretary-General, Mr. Kofi Annan, openly stated that with the passage of time the UN resolutions on Kashmir have become obsolete and lost its force.
Perhaps acknowledging this unfortunate reality, only recently, Pakistan has rightly shown remarkable flexibility by not insisting on the rhetorical demands for the implementation of these resolutions. This realistic and prudent statement of Gen. Pervez Musharraf earned him appreciation not only from India but also from important international players who matter including the US, European Union, Russia and China.
Another undeniable ground reality is that neither India nor Pakistan can physically force each other to surrender the part of Kashmir under their control. The third option i.e. independent state of Kashmir is also unacceptable to both India and Pakistan. In view of these incontrovertible realities, both India and Pakistan shall have to show flexibility on their respective stated positions. A viable solution could perhaps be to accept the Line of Control, with some adjustments, as the international border.
India has at least tacitly accepted this position, despite its claim to have annexed the state of Jammu & Kashmir as part of the Indian Union under its Constitution. Nevertheless, the writ of India has always been restricted to the part of Kashmir under its occupation. Secondly, whenever India alleges intrusion by any terrorist or jihadis, it always uses the term "Across the border terrorism" instead of "across the LoC". This amounts to imply the acceptance of the LoC by India as international border.
To remove the prevailing devastating deadlock, it would be in the best interest of the people of Pakistan, India and Kashmir, that both Pakistan and India formally accept the Line of Control as the international border for all practical purposes, at least for the time being. This is precisely the spirit and objective of the Simla agreement of 1972.
This acknowledgement must however be followed by a treaty between India and Pakistan, containing firm and sincere commitments (a) that both the countries would desist from, discourage and prevent aggressive actions, policies or propaganda against each other and militancy or terrorism in any form, may it be at the hands of the armed forces or jihadi/religious fanatic organizations; and (b) the border between the two countries and between the two Kashmirs should be opened to the people at large with free access, free trade, exchange of cultural activities, academics, intellectual groups, sports events, free access to the electronic and print media, etc.
Such bold decisions cannot be implemented without mobilizing public opinion. A heated controversy over the Geneva Accord was ably resolved by the then Prime Minister Junejo, who had invited all the political parties to the Round Table Conference, in which consensus was achieved on this issue. If the present regime, for its own survival, can convince the MMA to support the Seventeenth Amendment to the Constitution, then to save the people of Kashmir and Pakistan from further miseries, it should also strive for a consensus on the Kashmir issue.
Maulana Fazlur Rehman, Leader of the most important component of the MMA, has during his recent visit to India supported the proposal to accept the LoC as the international border. Following the healthy precedent of the late Mr. Junejo, the present rulers should also invite all political parties in the parliament to a round table conference for arriving at a consensus on the Kashmir issue.
The writer is a former federal minister of Pakistan.
A pyrrhic victory
By Anwer Mooraj
Last week local newspapers displayed a buoyant, beaming prime minister being heartily congratulated by his supporters. He has reason to be pleased.
The MMA, who had been dilly dallying for over a year, had finally decided to join the loyalists who were anxious to make the LFO a part of the Constitution. What surprised everybody, however, was the speed with which the document was pushed through the two houses of parliament.
President Musharraf has won a vote of confidence, though with 93 absentees and 58 abstentions in the national assembly, and 43 absentees in the senate, this could hardly be described as an overwhelmingly popular verdict. The greatest dissent came predictably from Punjab, where the PPP has a strong following and the Nawaz Sharif faction of the Muslim League has its roots. Nobody was therefore surprised when 110 MPAs decided to boycott the proceedings.
Now that the controversial seventeenth amendment has been passed, and the dust has settled on the ramparts of Islamabad, it would be interesting to see this latest development in the context of the continuing struggle for the establishment of a democratic system and the restoration of the 1973 Constitution, shorn of all the controversial amendments.
It is now widely believed that there had always been a tacit and arcane understanding between the MMA leadership and the president, that the former would throw in its lot with the establishment whenever the need arose.
In order to enable the alliance of religious parties to project an aura of fierce independence, it was not only necessary for them to adopt the posture of a responsible opposition party, but to be also seen as the leader in the fight against the usurpation of democratic values. And so they indulged in a great deal of shadow boxing, threatening mass demonstrations and violence on the streets. But the show of force never materialized, and the ARD members continued to be suspicious of their motives.
That's the popular view. But there is another possible reason why the MMA capitulated - the belief that the treasury benches put considerable pressure on the MMA to conform, otherwise their ship of state would encounter all kinds of hidden reefs in the NWFP. After all, hasn't there been considerable pressure from the Americans to clamp down on the activities of the tribesmen of the north-west? The upshot of the move is that the religious parties now have an assured tenure in the NWFP and Balochistan.
Mr Jamali must be a greatly relieved man. His major constitutional headache is over. He has succeeded in isolating the MMA from the ARD. He has also watched, with a nervous vigilance, President Musharraf make the appropriate gesture concerning the shedding of his uniform by the end of the current year. And he has also noted, with considerable satisfaction, the exclusion of the National Security Council from the Seventeenth Amendment, even though the treasury benches have enough support to turn it into law, should the need arise.
But unfortunately, the iniquitous Article 58(2)(b) introduced by the retrogressive Zia-ul-Haq in 1985, which has been at the base of political instability, has been retained, much to the chagrin of the ARD, PTI, BNM, PKMAP and the ANP.
All this does endorse the belief that irrespective of who heads the government, an attempt will always be made to impose an unelected person, civilian or military, to sit in judgment over an elected government.
In 1994, there had been six constitutions in Pakistan's brief 46 year history, and the Eighth Amendment, under which the country was then governed, was the seventh in the series. From the moment it sprang into existence, it was a highly controversial document. It was not framed by a representative assembly, and the 'representative' character of the body of legislators that eased the passage of the amendment was, in fact, highly suspect.
Mohammed Khan Junejo, who was the prime minister at the time, finally rubber-stamped the document in the naive belief that it was the only way to avoid the imposition of another martial law. What he didn't realize was that he was inflicting the rule of the obscurantist dictator Zia-ul-Haq, who had managed to convey to the metropolitan stable of parliamentarians who surrounded him, that he was the ultimate repository of wisdom in a land which was constantly being besieged by international conspiracies determined to destabilize the world of Islam.
Ghulam Ishaq Khan, who had lived most of his life in the slipstream of bureaucratic experience, inherited much of the mantle of his predecessor. His supporters, among whom could be found senior bureaucrats and itinerant MNAs, disillusioned with the governments of Benazir Bhutto and Nawaz Sharif, projected him as a nobly despairing figure who believed the destiny of the country was inextricably linked to his continuance as head of state.
He was frequently portrayed as an institutional godfather, chosen by providence to stop people like Benazir Bhutto and Nawaz Sharif from putting their fingers into the national till and corrupting the system. The fact that it made a mockery of the whole democratic process didn't appear to worry anybody, least of all the press. After all, when the Constitution specifically gave the power of dissolution to a president who was indirectly elected, it was a case of putting him above parliament and above the peoples' sovereignty.
Even if it was possible to find arguments to justify such a political anomaly, Ghulam Ishaq Khan could hardly have been considered a good president by any stretch of the imagination. He was essentially mediocre and feebly conventional. His dismissal of the Benazir government the first time round, while intriguing with the Muslim League, was totally uncalled for. And his dismissal of Nawaz Sharif's government, after making all kinds of insidious deals with the PPP, was equally reprehensible, as their lordships pointed out in their historic judgment.
The first move confirmed the belief of the critics in the West that GIK was the incarnation of the retrogressive forces that had ruled Pakistani society since 1947. And the second action smacked of spite, malice and gross pettiness.
President Musharraf is in quite a different category. His outlook is secular, he has a number of achievements to his credit, and he enjoys a reputation for honesty in financial dealings. .He has agreed to become a civilian president, like the late Ayub Khan, subordinating his personal interests to the institutional interests of the presidency and the military He has even agreed to cut himself off from his power base, which is the army, knowing full well the danger inherent in such a move. Only time will tell if the final denouement of the MMA was worth it, or if the constitutional battle was nothing more than a pyrrhic victory.