Much depends on Iraq’s behaviour
By Masood Haider
UNITED NATIONS: The UN Security Council meeting on Friday witnessed a crystallization of opinion within the membership in favour of continuing inspections in order to secure peaceful elimination of Iraqi weapons of mass destruction.
US and British diplomats had not expected Chief Weapons Inspector Hans Blix to present a report which confirmed enhanced Iraqi cooperation. They had hoped to capitalize on negative reports from Blix and IAEA chief Mohamed ElBaradei to press the case for quick military action. But both inspectors avoided harsh criticism, and the overwhelming majority of council nations pounced on their reports of improved Iraqi cooperation to call for fresh efforts to peacefully disarm President Saddam Hussein.
The pro-peace sentiments in the council was resoundingly manifest in the applause that greeted French Foreign Minister Dominique de Villepin’s statement extolling the virtues of peace and denouncing the dangers of war.
The rare outburst in the normally sober chamber was repeated — with somewhat less applause — when Russian Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov called for more inspections and said there was no need to use force against Iraq now.
A visibly exasperated US Secretary of State Colin Powell, setting aside his prepared remarks, warned the council that the world should not be taken in by “tricks that are being played on us.” When Mr Powell finished speaking, there was silence in the council chamber.
The United States and Britain had hoped to push through a new resolution quickly, and there had even been talk of a Saturday council meeting to introduce it. But without tough reports from the weapons inspectors, those plans were put on hold on Friday, and British diplomats privately conceded they no longer knew when and how they would be able to circulate a draft.
Considering the strong response in the council against war on Iraq, it appeared highly unlikely that the United States could muster the nine votes needed to authorize war now.
The French foreign minister told reporters that France, which has veto power in the council, would not support a UN resolution authorizing war.
China and Russia, also with the power to veto resolutions, backed the French calls to triple the number of inspectors and make their searches more intrusive to spur Iraq’s peaceful disarmament.
The United States and Britain say they are willing to go to war without UN backing but would prefer to have it. UN backing is particularly important for the British government, which faces strong public opposition to a war.
Now that the battle lines are drawn in the council, observers point out, much will depend on how Iraqis utilize this peace sentiment in the Security Council.
If Baghdad fails to respond much more positively to the UN Inspection process by actually participating in its own disarmament, the time and space which has now been made available to it to avoid the use of power may dissipate very quickly.
US and British diplomats on Friday expressed their willingness to allow Iraqi disarmament to take place through a more robust inspection process, provided Iraq was prepared for much more proactive cooperation.
However if, within the next few weeks, Iraq does not utilize this window of opportunity, it may well close quickly.
Already there are reports that US and Britain have formulated one of two draft resolutions which would implicitly or explicitly authorize use of force because of Iraq’s failure to comply with Resolution 1441. They had expected to table them on Friday but the pro-peace sentiments in the council has stalled that process for now.
If such a resolution appears in the next few days, the diplomatic dynamics in the UN Security Council could once again shift toward the option of force rather than peace.

