Dr Swamy & ‘India Vision 2020’!
By Brigadier A.R. Siddiqi
JUST ABOUT a couple of days before Janata Party leader Dr Subramanium Swamy’s arrival in Islamabad on his ‘peace mission’ last week, New Delhi released an ‘official’ report captioned ‘India Vision 2020’. The report, compiled by the deputy chairman of India’s planning commission, K.C. Pant, envisions a supremacist-militarist India rivalling China and dictating to Pakistan terms and conditions to wrap up the Kashmir dispute. The Kashmir issue, in the reported language of the document, “may (otherwise) still be unresolved by 2020.”
“Territorial disputes with neighbours that have defied resolution for 50 years may not lend themselves to easy solution,” he said.
On arrival in Islamabad, Dr Swamy, in an interview with an Urdu daily, said he had brought a message of peace, but some of his remarks, even if only coincidentally, seemed a distant but quite distinct echo of ‘India Vision 2020’.
While speaking of his efforts towards ‘normalizing’ India - Pakistan relations, Dr Swamy made an exception in the case of Kashmir, saying he would rather treat the problem as a long-term issue defying an early and amicable settlement.
“The right sort of environment must be created before an India-Pakistan dialogue could be resumed on Kashmir.”
Although Mr Pant’s 2020 Vision is an unquestionably daunting one, it does envisage nevertheless a time-limit — no matter how potentially disastrous — for its final settlement. Dr Swamy’s perception, on the other hand, remains even without a draft agenda, in the vaguest terms, for a resumption of dialogue.
Among the steps Dr Swamy specified for paving the way towards dialogue were removal of restrictions on air travel, restoration of rail and road services, ‘limited’ resumption of formal trade, and repatriation of some 250 missing Indian fishermen in Pakistan’s prisons.
But Mr Pant went on to stress the difficulty of bridging the gap between two such ideologically disparate countries as India and Pakistan. In his own words, “the fundamental ideological conflict between Pakistan and India is unlikely to be resolved without a major social-political change in Pakistan.”
Mr Pant’s reference to the ‘fundamental, ideological conflict between Pakistan and India and the unlikelihood of its being resolved without a major social-political change in Pakistan’ undermines the very basis of inter-state relationships. No two states can be ideologically identical much as they cannot be identical in history, tradition, demography and geography.
Even the two communist giants, the Soviet Union (1917-1991) and the People’s Republic of China, adapted their communist mores to their own particular conditions and national imperatives. By the same token, no two democratic states can be identical in practice even though they share the same perceptions. Let alone parliamentary Britain and presidential America, even social democracies like Sweden and Germany follow different paths, leading to the same destination.
‘India Vision 2020’, in the light of excerpts appearing in the press, is a fevered dream of India’s emergence as a great military and economic power, and regretfully constitutes a glaring departure from the vision of the progressive and peaceful India of its founding fathers.
It is conceived and couched in terms of an endemic ‘security threat’ real or imaginary. “.... In 2020, China may pose a serious challenge to its security while the Kashmir issue may still be unresolved. The increasing economic and military strength of China may pose a serious challenge to India’s security unless adequate measures are taken to fortify our own strengths.”
As regards the dismal prospect of an early settlement of the Kashmir issue, Indian intellectual Raju G.C. Thomas in an article some time back had spoken of the “risk of India unravelling like Yugoslavia” in the event of a forced solution of the Kashmir issue on the basis of religion. Thomas warned: “If four million Kashmiri Muslims cannot live in Hindu majority India, by logical extension neither can 144 million Muslims in the rest of India.... It was the leaders of the Indian Muslims in the Hindu- majority areas of British India who were mainly responsible for the creation of Pakistan, not the Muslims of the Muslim-majority areas that became West and East Pakistan”.
One wonders how Dr Swamy might respond to ‘India 2020 Vision’. In an interview with Dawn, (Jan 28) and in other statements, Dr Swamy shifted the onus of ‘reconciliatory initiatives’ on to President Musharraf whom he wants to help him in removing the misunderstanding the BJP government is creating in the minds of the Indian masses about Pakistan.
While a peace initiative by any responsible party or individual is welcome, Dr Swamy’s sudden arrival in Pakistan without any prior announcement and his somewhat ambivalent statements on India-Pakistan relations have left one wondering as to what brought him here at all. That is, if he had nothing to add to his country’s known stand and posturing on the core issue. Might it not have added weight to his peace mission had he cho-sen to respond critically to ‘India Vision 2020’?

